{"title":"Model of an Expert System for Forecasting Forest Fires Based on a Bayesian Belief Network","authors":"S. A. Ivanov","doi":"10.17587/it.30.124-132","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"The article discusses the development of an expert system (ES) for predicting the occurrence of forest fires. The problems and technology of implementing a system based on Bayesian trust networks are defined. A forecasting expert system model has been developed. The ES is implemented and an example of calculating the probability distribution at a system node is given. The operation of the proposed expert system is shown.","PeriodicalId":504905,"journal":{"name":"Informacionnye Tehnologii","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2024-03-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Informacionnye Tehnologii","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.17587/it.30.124-132","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
The article discusses the development of an expert system (ES) for predicting the occurrence of forest fires. The problems and technology of implementing a system based on Bayesian trust networks are defined. A forecasting expert system model has been developed. The ES is implemented and an example of calculating the probability distribution at a system node is given. The operation of the proposed expert system is shown.
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