Balance of Threat Analysis in Resolving the Diplomatic Crisis of Qatar and Saudi Arabia in 2017-2020

Triesanto Romulo Simanjuntak
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Abstract

The regional closeness of Persian Gulf countries faced a threat due to Qatar's foreign policy approach. Despite having the lowest military expenditure among Gulf countries, Qatar diverged from Saudi Arabia's policy of fostering stability in the Persian Gulf region to distance itself from groups deemed a threat to the domestic politics of other Gulf nations. Qatar's pursuit of greater democratic freedoms and a more moderate approach to international relations prompted Saudi Arabia and other Gulf nations to impose a diplomatic blockade in 2017. Despite this, Qatar's flexible foreign policy helped it avoid a prolonged domestic crisis. Establishing ties with nearby countries like Iran and Turkey and acquiring fighter aircraft from France and the United States garnered international support beyond its region. This research will examine Qatar's efforts to navigate the diplomatic crisis using a balance of threat approach—a key concept in Neorealism theory that posits an anarchic international structure requiring countries to navigate the global political stage for survival.
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2017-2020 年解决卡塔尔和沙特阿拉伯外交危机的威胁平衡分析
由于卡塔尔的外交政策,波斯湾国家的地区紧密关系面临威胁。尽管卡塔尔是海湾国家中军费开支最低的国家,但它偏离了沙特阿拉伯促进波斯湾地区稳定的政策,与被视为威胁其他海湾国家国内政治的团体保持距离。卡塔尔追求更大的民主自由,在国际关系中采取更加温和的态度,这促使沙特阿拉伯和其他海湾国家在 2017 年对其实施了外交封锁。尽管如此,卡塔尔灵活的外交政策帮助其避免了长期的国内危机。卡塔尔与伊朗和土耳其等周边国家建立联系,并从法国和美国购买战斗机,赢得了本地区以外的国际支持。本研究将采用威胁平衡法--新现实主义理论中的一个关键概念--来研究卡塔尔在外交危机中的努力,新现实主义理论认为,无政府的国际结构要求各国在全球政治舞台上游刃有余以求生存。
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