Climate Change Paradox: The Least Responsible for It Encounters the Most of Its Implications

IF 3 Q2 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Climate Pub Date : 2024-03-06 DOI:10.3390/cli12030038
Hadi Allafta, Christian Opp
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Abstract

Carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions are a major cause of climate change. However, CO2 emissions data for 178 countries from 1960 to 2018 revealed inequality in global CO2 emissions. For example, we found that 50% of the world’s population (ca. 3.75 billion people) was responsible for just 8.9% of the global cumulative carbon emissions. These people are concentrated in low- and middle-income countries. Conversely, 10% of the world’s population (ca. 757 million people), concentrated in high-income countries, were responsible for 46.8% of the global emissions. Furthermore, the literature review disclosed evolution of CO2 emission inequalities within countries. A significant (p < 0.001) negative (r2 = −0.52) correlation was detected between carbon emissions and climate change impacts on national incomes. Such correlation indicated that countries most likely to experience the greatest effects of climate change are also those who make the smallest contributions to its underlying causes. Similar disparities were observed within countries where low-income groups who make the smallest contributions to climate change are subjected to its worst implications. Evaluations of the data from the literature showed that migration could be the result of climate change, though such migration does not happen in isolation. In other words, this kind of migration is frequently linked to other issues such as the fragility and lack of adaptability of the communities. Furthermore, reviews showed that climate change catalyzes instability and conflict. On the other hand, conflict damages the environment and climate in multiple ways. Therefore, it is necessary to collaborate to resolve these two issues concurrently.
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气候变化悖论:对气候变化责任最小者却受其影响最大
二氧化碳(CO2)排放是气候变化的主要原因。然而,1960 年至 2018 年 178 个国家的二氧化碳排放数据显示,全球二氧化碳排放存在不平等现象。例如,我们发现全球 50%的人口(约 37.5 亿人)仅对全球累计碳排放量的 8.9% 负责。这些人主要集中在中低收入国家。相反,世界人口的 10%(约 7.57 亿人)集中在高收入国家,他们的排放量占全球排放量的 46.8%。此外,文献综述还揭示了各国内部二氧化碳排放不平等的演变。碳排放量和气候变化对国民收入的影响之间存在明显的负相关(p < 0.001)(r2 = -0.52)。这种相关性表明,最有可能受到气候变化最大影响的国家,同时也是对气候变化根本原因贡献最小的国家。在国家内部也发现了类似的差异,对气候变化贡献最小的低收入群体受到的影响最严重。对文献数据的评估表明,移徙可能是气候变化的结果,尽管这种移徙并不是孤立发生的。换句话说,这种迁移往往与其他问题有关,如社区的脆弱性和缺乏适应性。此外,审查表明,气候变化会引发不稳定和冲突。另一方面,冲突以多种方式破坏环境和气候。因此,有必要开展合作,同时解决这两个问题。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
Climate
Climate Earth and Planetary Sciences-Atmospheric Science
CiteScore
5.50
自引率
5.40%
发文量
172
审稿时长
11 weeks
期刊介绍: Climate is an independent, international and multi-disciplinary open access journal focusing on climate processes of the earth, covering all scales and involving modelling and observation methods. The scope of Climate includes: Global climate Regional climate Urban climate Multiscale climate Polar climate Tropical climate Climate downscaling Climate process and sensitivity studies Climate dynamics Climate variability (Interseasonal, interannual to decadal) Feedbacks between local, regional, and global climate change Anthropogenic climate change Climate and monsoon Cloud and precipitation predictions Past, present, and projected climate change Hydroclimate.
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