Obesity Related Stocks Risk and Return

Frederick Adjei, M. Adjei
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Abstract

In the last two decades there has been a significant increase in obesity in the United States of America. In this study, we examine the performance of firms directly related to the obesity trend; fast food restaurants such as McDonalds, soft drink companies such as the Coca-Cola company, and candy manufacturers such as the Hershey’s company. Particularly, we examine the risk-return profiles as well as the Buy-and-Hold Abnormal Returns (BHAR) of these stocks in relation to the economic cycle. We find that junk foods’ stocks have higher monthly returns and are riskier than the average stock. Additionally, junk foods’ stocks report positive abnormal returns, and this return is higher during economic recessions. However, we also find a decline in Sharpe ratios of junk foods’ stocks during recessions, indicating that Junk foods’ stocks offer lower risk-adjusted returns during recessions.
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肥胖相关股票的风险与回报
在过去二十年里,美国肥胖症患者大幅增加。在本研究中,我们研究了与肥胖趋势直接相关的公司的表现,包括麦当劳等快餐店、可口可乐等软饮料公司以及好时等糖果制造商。我们特别研究了这些股票与经济周期相关的风险回报率以及买入并持有异常回报率(BHAR)。我们发现,垃圾食品类股票的月回报率较高,风险也高于普通股票。此外,垃圾食品类股票的非正常回报率为正值,而且在经济衰退期间这种回报率更高。然而,我们还发现,在经济衰退期间,垃圾食品类股票的夏普比率有所下降,这表明垃圾食品类股票在经济衰退期间提供的风险调整后回报率较低。
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