Exploring desired urban futures: the transformative potential of a nature-based approach

IF 3 3区 管理学 Q1 ECONOMICS Futures Pub Date : 2024-03-21 DOI:10.1016/j.futures.2024.103362
O. Bina , M.D. Baptista , M.M. Pereira , A. Inch , R. Falanga , V. Alegría , S. Caquimbo-Salazar , D.H.S. Duarte , G. Mercado , A.T. Valenta , A. Vásquez , T. Verellen
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Abstract

Amidst multiple crises and calls for transformative change, the demand to reassess human-nature relationships has increased. Rethinking the future of cities is vital in this process, yet positive urban visions prioritizing nature beyond human-centred perspectives are lacking. To address this gap, we propose a “nature-based desired futures” approach for envisaging and building collective discussion around transformative change. We explore four concepts underpinning (i) why such alternative urban futures are needed (human-nature disconnect and changing urban imaginaries) and (ii) how they might be approached (transformative change and leverage, and the ‘education of desire’). This provides the basis for a participatory approach that adapts the Three Horizon method to explore desired urban futures for nature in 2050. Six workshops involving 111 participants linked to ‘Conexus’, a project on nature-based solutions in European and Latin American cities, explored emerging desired futures, evolving ideas of nature, human-nature relationships, and agency. The approach offers space for reflection creative exploration, and weaving together of new, hopeful, caring, emancipatory stories. Its effectiveness hinges on the mutually reinforcing power of deep leverage, and of structural, systemic, and enabling approaches, to give purpose and direction to the exploration of desired futures.

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探索理想的城市未来:基于自然的方法的变革潜力
在多重危机和转型变革的呼声中,重新评估人与自然关系的要求日益高涨。在这一过程中,重新思考城市的未来至关重要,然而,除了以人为本的视角之外,还缺乏优先考虑自然的积极城市愿景。为了弥补这一不足,我们提出了一种 "基于自然的理想未来 "方法,用于设想并围绕转型变革开展集体讨论。我们探讨了以下四个概念:(i) 为什么需要这种替代性的城市未来(人与自然的脱节和不断变化的城市想象);(ii) 如何实现这些未来(转型变革和杠杆作用,以及 "愿望教育")。这为参与式方法提供了基础,该方法采用了 "三个地平线 "的方法,以探索 2050 年城市自然的理想未来。与 "Conexus"(一个关于欧洲和拉丁美洲城市基于自然的解决方案的项目)相关联的六次研讨会有 111 名参与者参加,探讨了新出现的理想未来、不断演变的自然理念、人与自然的关系以及机构。这种方法为反思、创造性探索以及编织新的、充满希望、关爱和解放的故事提供了空间。其有效性取决于深度杠杆作用以及结构性、系统性和扶持性方法的相辅相成的力量,从而为探索理想的未来提供目的和方向。
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来源期刊
Futures
Futures Multiple-
CiteScore
6.00
自引率
10.00%
发文量
124
期刊介绍: Futures is an international, refereed, multidisciplinary journal concerned with medium and long-term futures of cultures and societies, science and technology, economics and politics, environment and the planet and individuals and humanity. Covering methods and practices of futures studies, the journal seeks to examine possible and alternative futures of all human endeavours. Futures seeks to promote divergent and pluralistic visions, ideas and opinions about the future. The editors do not necessarily agree with the views expressed in the pages of Futures
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