“Climate Bailout”: a new tool for central banks to limit the financial risk resulting from climate change

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Abstract

To achieve the climate goals of the Paris Agreement, the bulk of identified fossil fuel resources cannot be burned and have to stay in the ground. This fact leads to a situation where a significant part of the fossil fuels already recorded in company balance sheets will become stranded assets in the near future. Since 2015, central banks have identified climate change as a large risk for financial stability, stranded assets constituting a significant element of this risk. To protect the economy from this risk, central banks need novel tools. The aim of this paper is to outline a new “climate bailout” tool which would enable fossil fuel industry actors, both in the Global North and Global South to sell their potentially stranded assets to central banks (mainly from the Global North) upon committing themselves to invest the received money into new and additional renewable energy (RE). Multilateral development banks and other development finance institutions would support this process, while central banks would take a new kind of long-term, low-yield green climate asset onto their balance sheets. The newly financed RE would substitute for lost fossil fuel energy supply and stabilise related prices. We demonstrate that a climate bailout would not only be in line with the general mandates of central banks, namely maintaining price stability and preserving the stability of the financial sector, but would also provide a new tool for central banks to counter fossil fuel price shock-induced inflation (fossilflation). We show how countries both from the Global South and the Global North could benefit from the implementation of this new financial tool.

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"气候救助":中央银行限制气候变化金融风险的新工具
摘要 为实现《巴黎协定》的气候目标,大部分已查明的化石燃料资源不能燃烧,必须留在地下。这一事实导致公司资产负债表中已记录的大部分化石燃料在不久的将来将成为搁浅资产。自 2015 年以来,各国央行已将气候变化视为金融稳定的一大风险,而搁浅资产则是这一风险的重要组成部分。为保护经济免受这一风险,央行需要新的工具。本文旨在概述一种新的 "气候救助 "工具,使全球北方和全球南方的化石燃料行业参与者能够将其潜在的搁浅资产出售给中央银行(主要是全球北方的中央银行),并承诺将所收到的资金投资于新的和额外的可再生能源(RE)。多边开发银行和其他开发金融机构将支持这一进程,而中央银行则将在其资产负债表上纳入一种新型的长期、低收益绿色气候资产。新融资的可再生能源将替代失去的化石燃料能源供应,并稳定相关价格。我们证明,气候救助不仅符合中央银行的一般任务,即保持价格稳定和维护金融部门的稳定,而且还将为中央银行提供一种新的工具,以应对化石燃料价格冲击引发的通货膨胀(化石通胀)。我们将展示全球南方和全球北方国家如何从这一新金融工具的实施中获益。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
6.00
自引率
26.50%
发文量
31
期刊介绍: International Environmental Agreements: Politics, Law and Economics is a peer-reviewed, multi-disciplinary journal that focuses on the theoretical, methodological and practical dimensions of achieving cooperative solutions to international environmental problems. The journal, which is published four times each year, emphasizes both formal legal agreements (such as multilateral treaties) and less formal cooperative mechanisms (such as ministerial declarations and producer-consumer agreements). The journal''s scope encompasses the full range of environmental and natural resource issues, including (but not limited to) biosafety, biodiversity loss, climate change, desertification, forest conservation, ozone depletion, transboundary pollutant flows, and the management of marine and fresh-water resources. The editors welcome contributions that consider stakeholder initiatives and the role of civil society in the definition and resolution of environmental conflicts. The journal provides a forum on the role of political, economic, and legal considerations in the negotiation and implementation of effective governance strategies. Special emphasis is attached to the following substantive domains: The normative aspects and political economy of treaty negotiations and multilateral agreements, including equity considerations; Methodologies for evaluating the effectiveness of alternative governance mechanisms; The role of stakeholder initiatives and civil society in the definition and resolution of environmental conflicts; The harmonization of environmental strategies with prevailing social, political, and economic institutions.
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