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The environmental rule of law and the protection of human rights defenders: law, society, technology, and markets 环境法治与保护人权捍卫者:法律、社会、技术和市场
IF 3.4 3区 社会学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-09 DOI: 10.1007/s10784-024-09645-x
Elif Oral

Environmental human rights defenders (EHRDs) play a key role in the realization of the environmental rule of law and in strengthening social and ecological sustainability. States have the duty to protect and empower the EHRDs, while businesses, investors, and financial institutions also have responsibilities to respect human rights. Although the literature on human rights defenders is comprehensive, the article offers a theoretical analysis of the challenges facing the EHRDs by using Lawrence Lessig’s New Chicago School approach to explore the opportunities for bridging the gap between the theory and practice concerning the protection of EHRDs. The article endeavors to contribute to the literature by methodologically explaining the importance of legal regulation and State intervention for creating a safe and just space for the activities of the EHRDs. It demonstrates the effects of the four modalities in Lessig’s theory—i.e. the law, the social norms (culture), the architecture (technology), and the market—on the behavior of EHRDs, and ultimately on democracies while emphasizing the power of law as one of these modalities and being one of the imperative elements of the environmental rule of law. It argues that the adoption of international agreements, laws and policies regulating culture, technology, and markets, would empower civil society and encourage broad participation in the decision-making processes both within the States and the businesses to ensure accountable, transparent, and inclusive governance. It concludes that strengthened legal protection mechanisms for the rights of the rights’ defenders is an urgent need to achieve the Sustainable Development Goals and the environmental rule of law.

环境人权捍卫者(EHRDs)在实现环境法治以及加强社会和生态可持续性方面发挥着关键作用。国家有责任保护环境人权捍卫者并赋予其权力,而企业、投资者和金融机构也有责任尊重人权。尽管有关人权维护者的文献已很全面,但本文采用劳伦斯-莱西格(Lawrence Lessig)的 "新芝加哥学派"(New Chicago School)方法,对环境人权维护者所面临的挑战进行了理论分析,以探讨弥合有关保护环境人权维护者的理论与实践之间差距的机会。文章从方法论的角度解释了法律监管和国家干预对于为平等人权捍卫者的活动创造一个安全和公正空间的重要性,从而努力为相关文献做出贡献。文章论证了莱西格理论中的四种模式--即法律、社会规范(文化)、架构(技术)和市场--对环境人权捍卫者行为的影响,以及最终对民主政体的影响,同时强调法律作为这些模式之一的力量,是环境法治的必要元素之一。报告认为,通过国际协定、法律和政策来规范文化、技术和市场,将增强公民社会的能力,鼓励广泛参与国家和企业的决策过程,以确保负责任、透明和包容性的治理。报告最后指出,加强对维权者权利的法律保护机制是实现可持续发展目标和环境法治的迫切需要。
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引用次数: 0
Should we regulate forests through free trade agreements? 我们应该通过自由贸易协定来管理森林吗?
IF 3.4 3区 社会学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-18 DOI: 10.1007/s10784-024-09647-9
Tamara Grigoras

The international forest regime—if there ever was such a thing—traditionally developed on the fringes of various environmental treaty regimes. In recent years, however, the regime’s boundaries have conquered new, historically hostile territories. The last two decades have indeed witnessed the emergence, and then proliferation, of a new generation of free trade agreements that incorporate commitments pertaining to forests. These commitments have developed along two lines: either through the establishment of linkages to pre-existing forest-related obligations enshrined in multilateral environmental agreements or through the creation of new forest commitments. To the extent that such trade-forest commitments have now become part and parcel of the international law governing forests, their existence raises important policy choice questions that have not been addressed yet. This article aims to fill this gap by answering the following question: should we, for the sake of the protection of our forests, welcome such a development or, on the contrary, oppose it? Using a legal-dogmatic approach, this article provides, based on a cross-study analysis of a selection of trade agreements including forest-related provisions, a doctrinal evaluation of the fitness of these commitments to achieve forest protection and identifies the opportunities and risks associated therewith. In so doing, this article debates the adequacy of international trade law for regulating forests.

国际森林制度--如果有这种制度的话--传统上是在各种环境条约制度的边缘发展起来的。然而,近年来,该制度的疆界已经征服了新的、历史上充满敌意的领土。在过去的二十年里,新一代的自由贸易协定不断涌现,然后不断扩散,其中包含了与森林有关的承诺。这些承诺的发展有两种途径:一是与多边环境协定中已有的与森林有关的义务建立联系,二是作出新的森林承诺。鉴于此类贸易-森林承诺现已成为国际森林法的重要组成部分,它们的存在提出了尚未解决的重要政策选择问题。本文旨在填补这一空白,回答以下问题:为了保护我们的森林,我们应该欢迎这种发展,还是相反,应该反对它?本文采用法律教条主义的方法,在对部分包含森林相关条款的贸易协定进行交叉研究分析的基础上,对这些承诺是否适合实现森林保护进行了理论评估,并确定了与之相关的机遇和风险。在此过程中,本文就国际贸易法是否足以规范森林问题展开了辩论。
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引用次数: 0
Arctic wetlands, an evaluation of progress towards implementation of the Ramsar convention on wetlands: 1978–2022 北极湿地,《拉姆萨尔湿地公约》实施进展评估:1978-2022
IF 3.4 3区 社会学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-14 DOI: 10.1007/s10784-024-09646-w
Tom Barry

This paper investigates the regional implementation of an International Environmental Agreement, the Convention on Wetlands of International Importance, especially as waterfowl habitat (Ramsar), using the Arctic as a case study. With almost a quarter of the world’s wetlands located in the Arctic, accounting for the planet’s largest regional storehouse of carbon, the region is facing threats from climate change-induced permafrost degradation and increasing human activities. Therefore, effective management of these wetlands is crucial for global climate change adaptation and mitigation. The research question addressed by this paper is how effective Arctic states are in achieving the goals outlined in the Ramsar Convention. To address this question, the study employs several methods, including compiling and analyzing data on the status and trends of Ramsar-designated wetlands in the Arctic, comparing state performance against Ramsar commitments, assessing Ramsar reporting mechanisms to monitor implementation progress, and considering potential modifications to enhance the relevance of Ramsar reporting.

本文以北极地区为案例,调查了《关于特别是作为水禽栖息地的国际重要湿地公约》(拉姆萨尔)这一国际环境协定在该地区的实施情况。全球近四分之一的湿地位于北极地区,是地球上最大的区域性碳储存库,该地区正面临着气候变化引起的永冻土退化和人类活动日益增多的威胁。因此,有效管理这些湿地对于适应和减缓全球气候变化至关重要。本文要解决的研究问题是,北极国家在实现《拉姆萨尔公约》所列目标方面的成效如何。为了解决这个问题,本研究采用了多种方法,包括汇编和分析有关北极地区拉姆萨尔指定湿地的现状和趋势的数据,将各国的表现与拉姆萨尔承诺进行比较,评估拉姆萨尔报告机制以监控实施进度,以及考虑可能的修改以提高拉姆萨尔报告的相关性。
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引用次数: 0
The split ladder of policy problems, participation, and politicization: constitutional water change in Ecuador and Chile 政策问题、参与和政治化的分裂阶梯:厄瓜多尔和智利的水资源宪法改革
IF 3.4 3区 社会学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-19 DOI: 10.1007/s10784-024-09644-y
Margot Hurlbert, Joyeeta Gupta

There is debate about whether complex problems should be addressed technocratically or whether they should be politicized. While many tend to favour technocratic decision-making and evidence based policy, for others politicization of policy problems is fundamental for significant policy change. But politicization does not always lead to problem solving. Nor is it always necessary. This paper addresses the question: Under what circumstances should problems be politicized, and what is the effect of such politicization? It adds politicization, through windows of opportunity, to the split ladder of participation to assess policy change through two case studies: successful and unsuccessful constitutional change in Ecuador (2008) and Chile respectively (2022). It argues that where there is no agreement on either science or policy, politicization is required to address lack of consensus in values, but constitutional protection is needed to protect minorities and the vulnerable, their access and human right to water. De-politicization stymies policy change potentially harming democracy. This paper argues for a citizen engaged exploration of the complex problem of climate change and its impacts on water, but a targeted politicization coincident with, but developed well in advance of, windows of opportunity. Moreover, policy framing correlated with complex problems continues to be a key consideration. Furthermore, alliances of disparate actors, elections of new political leaders and considerations of property rights and justice issues are paramount. Significant constitutional policy change reflects social learning, but subsequent court actions by policy entrepreneurs is required to effectively implement this change. Framing constitutional change to protect rights to water and effect international agreements (including the Warsaw International Mechanism under the climate change regime) advances water justice and may increase success.

关于复杂的问题是应该用技术手段解决,还是应该政治化的问题,一直存在争论。许多人倾向于技术官僚决策和循证政策,而另一些人则认为,政策问题的政治化是重大政策变革的根本。但政治化并不总能解决问题。政治化也并非总是必要的。本文探讨了这一问题:在什么情况下应该将问题政治化,政治化的效果如何?本文通过厄瓜多尔(2008 年)和智利(2022 年)分别成功和失败的宪法改革这两个案例研究,将政治化(通过机会之窗)添加到参与的分裂阶梯中,以评估政策变革。该报告认为,在科学或政策方面无法达成一致的情况下,需要政治化来解决价值观缺乏共识的问题,但需要宪法保护来保护少数群体和弱势群体,保护他们获得水资源的权利和人权。非政治化阻碍了政策的改变,可能会损害民主。本文主张公民参与探讨气候变化及其对水的影响这一复杂问题,但有针对性的政治化应与机会窗口相吻合,并在机会窗口到来之前提前制定。此外,与复杂问题相关的政策框架仍然是一个重要的考虑因素。此外,不同参与者之间的联盟、新政治领导人的选举以及对产权和公正问题的考虑都是至关重要的。重大的宪法政策变革反映了社会学习,但需要政策制定者随后采取法院行动来有效实施这一变革。为保护水权和实施国际协议(包括气候变化制度下的华沙国际机制)而制定宪法变革框架,可促进水正义,并可能提高成功率。
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引用次数: 0
Pathways of scientific input into intergovernmental negotiations: a new agreement on marine biodiversity 科学投入政府间谈判的途径:关于海洋生物多样性的新协定
IF 3.4 3区 社会学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-18 DOI: 10.1007/s10784-024-09642-0
Ina Tessnow-von Wysocki, Alice B. M. Vadrot

A new legally binding agreement for the conservation and sustainable use of marine biodiversity beyond national jurisdiction (BBNJ) was adopted by consensus on 19th June, 2023. Setting new regulations and filling regulatory gaps of the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea are expected to be informed by “best available science”. It is critical to understand how science entered the negotiations, which defined the global scientific knowledge base of decision-makers. This paper presents various pathways over which scientific input entered the BBNJ negotiations, using empirical data, collected through collaborative event ethnography, including participant observation and semi-structured interviews at the BBNJ negotiation site. Results show that scientific input in the BBNJ negotiations was not systematic and transparent but dependent on (a) available national scientific capacity, (b) financial resources, (c) established contacts and (d) active involvement of actors. Results of the study call for formalised science-policy interfaces, initiated by the UN Secretariat to guarantee a global knowledge base for decision-making. Keywords: international negotiations; United Nations; marine biodiversity; BBNJ; ocean protection; science-policy interfaces.

2023 年 6 月 19 日,一项新的、具有法律约束力的国家管辖范围以外海洋生物多样性(BBNJ)保护和可持续利用协定以协商一致方式获得通过。制定新的法规和填补《联合国海洋法公约》的法规空白有望以 "现有最佳科学 "为依据。了解科学是如何进入谈判的至关重要,谈判确定了决策者的全球科学知识库。本文介绍了科学投入进入 BBNJ 谈判的各种途径,使用了通过合作事件人种学收集的经验数据,包括在 BBNJ 谈判现场的参与观察和半结构化访谈。结果表明,在 BBNJ 谈判中,科学投入并不是系统和透明的,而是取决于 (a) 现有的国家科学能力,(b) 财政资源,(c) 已建立的联系和 (d) 参与者的积极参与。研究结果呼吁由联合国秘书处发起正式的科学政策接口,以保证决策的全球知识基础。关键词:国际谈判;联合国;海洋生物多样性;BBNJ;海洋保护;科学政策接口。
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引用次数: 0
The forest policy outputs of regional regimes: a qualitative comparative analysis on the effects of formalization, hegemony and issue-focus around the globe 区域制度的森林政策成果:对全球正规化、霸权和问题重点的影响进行定性比较分析
IF 3.4 3区 社会学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-01 DOI: 10.1007/s10784-024-09641-1
Pradip Kumar Sarker, Lukas Giessen, Max Göhrs, Sohui Jeon, Minette Nago, Fredy David Polo-Villanueva, Sarah Lilian Burns

International regimes, defined as sets of norms and rules around which members’ expectations converge, are providing structures for facilitating cooperation in a given issue area. Two main lines of environmental regime scholarship prevailed thus far: one on structural design aspects of international institutions and one on their effects and effectiveness. However, questions on how such effects are achieved in detail largely remain unanswered. Against this background, this study aims to analyze the institutional design conditions under which regional regimes produce strong or weak policies. We do so by qualitatively comparing, using a fuzzy-set Qualitative Comparative Analysis (fsQCA), nine regional regimes across the world towards their ability of producing regime forest policies as an illustrative issue area. Three structural conditions were identified as being influential on regime policy: (i) The degree of formalization (ii) The existence of hegemonic/powerful member state(s) and (iii) Scope or issue specificity bearing the identity of a regime. Our results showed that no one condition on its own was necessary to produce either strong or weak regime forest policy. However, all three conditions, through three different configurations, created a robust pathway for producing strong regime policy. In addition, the combination that showed the presence of all three conditions was related to weak regime policy. These results open several prospects for future research on the relationship between regimes´ structures and regime policy.

国际制度被定义为成员期望趋同的一系列规范和规则,是促进特定问题领域合作的结构。迄今为止,环境制度的学术研究主要有两个方向:一个是国际制度的结构设计方面,另一个是国际制度的效果和有效性方面。然而,关于如何详细实现这些效果的问题在很大程度上仍然没有答案。在此背景下,本研究旨在分析区域制度产生强势或弱势政策的制度设计条件。为此,我们采用模糊集定性比较分析法(fsQCA),对全球九个地区性制度制定制度性森林政策的能力进行了定性比较。我们确定了对制度政策有影响的三个结构性条件:(i) 正规化程度 (ii) 是否存在霸权/强势成员国;(iii) 影响制度特性的范围或问题特殊性。我们的研究结果表明,没有任何一个条件本身是产生强势或弱势制度森林政策的必要条件。然而,所有三个条件通过三种不同的组合,形成了产生强势制度政策的稳健途径。此外,显示出所有三个条件都存在的组合与弱制度政策有关。这些结果为今后研究制度结构与制度政策之间的关系开辟了若干前景。
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引用次数: 0
Bridges over troubled waters: Climate clubs, alliances, and partnerships as safeguards for effective international cooperation? 困境中的桥梁:气候俱乐部、联盟和伙伴关系是有效国际合作的保障?
IF 3.4 3区 社会学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-07 DOI: 10.1007/s10784-024-09639-9
Heiner von Luepke, Karsten Neuhoff, Catherine Marchewitz

Driven by the motivation to raise the ambition level of climate action and to foster the transformation of economies, current climate policy discourse revolves around ways to improve cooperation between industrialized countries and emerging economies. We identify three broad types of initiatives—multilateral-cross sectoral, multilateral, sector specific, and climate and development partnerships—and assess them for potentials to deliver on such objectives with a specific focus on industry transformation. This paper provides new reflections on the institutionalization of international climate cooperation. Specifically, we demonstrate the urgent need to understand what values, norms, and underlying principles drive a cooperation in order to draw conclusions on how to best institutionalize climate cooperation rules.in-use. We conclude that an overemphasis on a CO2 price and on carbon border adjustment mechanisms, such as in the context of the initial proposals for a cross-sectoral climate club envisaged by G7 countries, would have contributed to a further polarization of the international landscape. We find, however, that multilateral, sectoral alliances play an important role for international goal setting and the convergence on standards, metrics, and benchmarks. Based on our analysis, we recommend strengthening multilateral, sector-specific partnerships. These can be focused on sectoral topics as a connector between countries, allowing for a strategically-aligned, increasingly deep collaboration. However, for any initiative to succeed, processes of international institutionalization will be needed in order to agree on rules for implementation based on aligned interests and equity. Building such institutions may well serve as a steppingstone toward more durable cooperation structures between developed economies and emerging economies. In sum, no existing cooperation approach is perfect, but three actions may be taken to move the agenda forward: First, reform of the carbon border adjustment mechanism and removing it from the center of climate club discussions, second, coupling sectoral alliances with climate and development partnerships, and three, designing them in a way to address fears of political influence seeking and superimposition of global north agendas on the global south.

在提高气候行动目标水平和促进经济转型的推动下,当前的气候政策讨论围绕着如何改善工业化国家与新兴经济体之间的合作展开。我们确定了三大类倡议--多边-跨部门倡议、多边-特定部门倡议以及气候与发展伙伴关系--并评估了它们实现这些目标的潜力,特别关注产业转型。本文对国际气候合作的制度化进行了新的思考。具体而言,我们表明迫切需要了解是哪些价值观、规范和基本原则推动了合作,从而就如何最好地将气候合作规则制度化得出结论。我们的结论是,过分强调二氧化碳价格和碳边界调整机制,如七国集团(G7)国家设想的跨部门气候俱乐部的最初提案,将导致国际格局的进一步两极分化。然而,我们发现,多边部门联盟在国际目标设定以及标准、衡量标准和基准趋同方面发挥着重要作用。根据我们的分析,我们建议加强多边的、针对具体部门的伙伴关系。这些伙伴关系可以集中在部门主题上,作为国家间的连接纽带,实现战略上的一致和日益深入的合作。然而,任何倡议要取得成功,都需要国际制度化进程,以便在利益一致和公平的基础上商定实施规则。建立这样的机构很可能成为发达经济体与新兴经济体之间建立更持久合作结构的垫脚石。总之,现有的合作方式都不完美,但可以采取三项行动来推进议程:首先,改革碳边界调整机制,将其从气候俱乐部讨论的中心移除;其次,将部门联盟与气候和发展伙伴关系结合起来;第三,在设计这些联盟时,要消除人们对寻求政治影响和将全球北方议程强加于全球南方的担忧。
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引用次数: 0
Doomed to fail? A call to reform global climate governance and greenhouse gas inventories 注定失败?呼吁改革全球气候治理和温室气体清单
IF 3.4 3区 社会学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-04-24 DOI: 10.1007/s10784-024-09637-x
Kyle S. Herman

Commitments to emissions reductions following the landmark Paris Climate Change Agreement have proliferated. Though it is promising that 145 countries have declared a net-zero emissions target, with 33 enshrining this goal into law, comparison of country-level emissions inventories can only be effectively carried out with uniform and consistent data. The extent to which greenhouse gas (GHG) inventory comparison is possible, and the ancillary climate governance implications, are the motivation for this article. Based on time-series correlation analyses over 32 years and 43 Annex-I countries, we uncover issues that are likely to inveigh against country-country comparison of GHGs—with the potential to weaken climate governance systems that are based mainly on emissions inventory tracking. First, the Global Warming Potentials (GWPs)—which convert each respective GHG into carbon equivalents (CO2-e), and are revised with each IPCC report—are not immediately or consistently integrated into GHG inventories. Second, GHGs apart from carbon dioxide, based on the data analysis, do not appear to be tracked uniformly. Should comparison of emissions remain a cornerstone of global climate governance, an overhaul of country-level GHG inventories is called for, specifically to enable effective reporting and tracking of GHGs apart from only carbon dioxide.

具有里程碑意义的《巴黎气候变化协定》签署后,减排承诺激增。尽管有 145 个国家宣布了净零排放目标,其中 33 个国家已将这一目标写入法律,但国家层面的排放清单比较只有在数据统一一致的情况下才能有效进行。温室气体(GHG)清单比较的可行程度及其对气候治理的附带影响是本文的写作动机。根据对 43 个附件一国家 32 年的时间序列相关性分析,我们发现了一些问题,这些问题很可能会影响国家与国家之间的温室气体比较,并有可能削弱主要基于排放清单跟踪的气候治理系统。首先,全球升温潜能值(GWPs)--将每种温室气体转换成碳当量(CO2-e),并随 IPCC 的每份报告进行修订--并没有立即或持续地纳入温室气体清单。其次,根据数据分析,除二氧化碳以外的其他温室气体似乎没有被统一跟踪。如果排放量比较仍然是全球气候治理的基石,那么就需要对国家级温室气体清单进行彻底改革,特别是要对二氧化碳以外的温室气体进行有效的报告和跟踪。
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引用次数: 0
Reconciling Ireland’s climate ambitions with climate policy and practice: challenges, contradictions and barriers 协调爱尔兰的气候雄心与气候政策和实践:挑战、矛盾和障碍
IF 3.4 3区 社会学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-03-28 DOI: 10.1007/s10784-024-09632-2
Amanda Slevin, John Barry

Often perceived as a green nation, Ireland’s climate action reputation ranges from being regarded as a climate ‘laggard’ to being applauded as one of the first states to introduce supply-side ‘keep it in the ground’ (KIIG) legislation. In line with UNFCCC and IPCC advice, Ireland has committed to reducing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by 51% by 2030 and reaching net zero by 2050. However such ambitions have not yet translated into sufficient transformations required to achieve the goals of a Paris Agreement compliant pathway. Major challenges surround Ireland’s transition to net zero, for example, the country’s fossil fuel dependency means oil and gas (mostly imported) account for around 80% of primary energy while emissions from agriculture, transport and electricity generation are increasing, rather than decreasing. Ireland is failing to meet national and EU GHG reduction targets, has had to buy emissions quotas to comply with legal requirements, and its interim 2030 target is below the EU’s Climate Law ambition. Contradictory policies, especially those influenced by ROI’s neoliberal orientation, undermine climate action and mean Ireland struggles to achieve GHG reductions, despite the state’s climate change legislation and policies. Concentrating on supply-side climate policy, this article examines key issues hampering Ireland’s ability to reconcile its climate ambitious with policy and practice. Adopting a critical political economy analysis, we explore multi-level drivers of climate and energy policies, examining challenges like the war in Ukraine, which prompted the Irish state to re-consider where and how it sources gas and oil, in turn threatening existing KIIG measures. In critically analysing challenges and contradictions, we identify multiple ideological, political and economic factors, in particular, the neoliberal, globalised economic model influencing the State’s current unsustainable, risky and contradictory policy direction. We conclude by articulating specific barriers hampering Ireland’s climate ambitions that must be addressed to enable a just transition to a sustainable future.

爱尔兰通常被认为是一个绿色国家,其气候行动的声誉从被视为气候 "落后者 "到作为首批引入供应方 "将温室气体留在地下"(KIIG)立法的国家之一而备受赞誉。根据联合国气候变化框架公约(UNFCCC)和政府间气候变化专门委员会(IPCC)的建议,爱尔兰承诺到 2030 年将温室气体(GHG)排放量减少 51%,到 2050 年实现净零排放。然而,这种雄心尚未转化为实现《巴黎协定》目标所需的充分转变。爱尔兰在向净零排放过渡的过程中面临着重大挑战,例如,该国对化石燃料的依赖性意味着石油和天然气(大部分为进口)占一次能源的 80% 左右,而农业、交通和发电产生的排放量不减反增。爱尔兰未能实现国家和欧盟的温室气体减排目标,不得不购买排放配额来满足法律要求,其 2030 年的临时目标也低于欧盟气候法的目标。相互矛盾的政策,尤其是受爱尔兰共和国新自由主义导向影响的政策,破坏了气候行动,意味着尽管爱尔兰制定了气候变化立法和政策,但仍难以实现温室气体减排。本文以供应方气候政策为重点,探讨了阻碍爱尔兰将其气候雄心与政策和实践相协调的关键问题。通过批判性的政治经济分析,我们探讨了气候和能源政策的多层次驱动因素,研究了乌克兰战争等挑战,这些挑战促使爱尔兰重新考虑天然气和石油的来源和方式,反过来又威胁到现有的 KIIG 措施。在对挑战和矛盾进行批判性分析时,我们发现了意识形态、政治和经济等多重因素,尤其是新自由主义、全球化经济模式对爱尔兰当前不可持续、高风险和矛盾的政策方向的影响。最后,我们阐述了阻碍爱尔兰气候雄心的具体障碍,这些障碍必须得到解决,以实现向可持续未来的公正过渡。
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引用次数: 0
“Climate Bailout”: a new tool for central banks to limit the financial risk resulting from climate change "气候救助":中央银行限制气候变化金融风险的新工具
IF 3.4 3区 社会学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-03-26 DOI: 10.1007/s10784-024-09630-4

Abstract

To achieve the climate goals of the Paris Agreement, the bulk of identified fossil fuel resources cannot be burned and have to stay in the ground. This fact leads to a situation where a significant part of the fossil fuels already recorded in company balance sheets will become stranded assets in the near future. Since 2015, central banks have identified climate change as a large risk for financial stability, stranded assets constituting a significant element of this risk. To protect the economy from this risk, central banks need novel tools. The aim of this paper is to outline a new “climate bailout” tool which would enable fossil fuel industry actors, both in the Global North and Global South to sell their potentially stranded assets to central banks (mainly from the Global North) upon committing themselves to invest the received money into new and additional renewable energy (RE). Multilateral development banks and other development finance institutions would support this process, while central banks would take a new kind of long-term, low-yield green climate asset onto their balance sheets. The newly financed RE would substitute for lost fossil fuel energy supply and stabilise related prices. We demonstrate that a climate bailout would not only be in line with the general mandates of central banks, namely maintaining price stability and preserving the stability of the financial sector, but would also provide a new tool for central banks to counter fossil fuel price shock-induced inflation (fossilflation). We show how countries both from the Global South and the Global North could benefit from the implementation of this new financial tool.

摘要 为实现《巴黎协定》的气候目标,大部分已查明的化石燃料资源不能燃烧,必须留在地下。这一事实导致公司资产负债表中已记录的大部分化石燃料在不久的将来将成为搁浅资产。自 2015 年以来,各国央行已将气候变化视为金融稳定的一大风险,而搁浅资产则是这一风险的重要组成部分。为保护经济免受这一风险,央行需要新的工具。本文旨在概述一种新的 "气候救助 "工具,使全球北方和全球南方的化石燃料行业参与者能够将其潜在的搁浅资产出售给中央银行(主要是全球北方的中央银行),并承诺将所收到的资金投资于新的和额外的可再生能源(RE)。多边开发银行和其他开发金融机构将支持这一进程,而中央银行则将在其资产负债表上纳入一种新型的长期、低收益绿色气候资产。新融资的可再生能源将替代失去的化石燃料能源供应,并稳定相关价格。我们证明,气候救助不仅符合中央银行的一般任务,即保持价格稳定和维护金融部门的稳定,而且还将为中央银行提供一种新的工具,以应对化石燃料价格冲击引发的通货膨胀(化石通胀)。我们将展示全球南方和全球北方国家如何从这一新金融工具的实施中获益。
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International Environmental Agreements-Politics Law and Economics
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