Public opinion about solar radiation management: A cross-cultural study in 20 countries around the world

IF 4.8 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Climatic Change Pub Date : 2024-03-29 DOI:10.1007/s10584-024-03708-3
Nadja Contzen, Goda Perlaviciute, Linda Steg, Sophie Charlotte Reckels, Susana Alves, David Bidwell, Gisela Böhm, Marino Bonaiuto, Li-Fang Chou, Victor Corral-Verdugo, Federica Dessi, Thomas Dietz, Rouven Doran, Maria do Carmo Eulálio, Kelly Fielding, Cristina Gómez-Román, Juliana V. Granskaya, Tatyana Gurikova, Bernardo Hernández, Maira P. Kabakova, Chieh-Yu Lee, Fan Li, Maria Luísa Lima, Lu Liu, Sílvia Luís, Gabriel Muinos, Charles A. Ogunbode, María Victoria Ortiz, Nick Pidgeon, Maria Argüello Pitt, Leila Rahimi, Anastasia Revokatova, Cecilia Reyna, Geertje Schuitema, Rachael Shwom, Nur Soylu Yalcinkaya, Elspeth Spence, Bernadette Sütterlin
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Abstract

Some argue that complementing climate change mitigation measures with solar radiation management (SRM) might prove a last resort to limit global warming to 1.5 °C. To make a socially responsible decision on whether to use SRM, it is important to consider also public opinion, across the globe and particularly in the Global South, which would face the greatest risks from both global warming and SRM. However, most research on public opinion about SRM stems from the Global North. We report findings from the first large-scale, cross-cultural study on the public opinion about SRM among the general public (N = 2,248) and students (N = 4,583) in 20 countries covering all inhabited continents, including five countries from the Global South and five ‘non-WEIRD’ (i.e. not Western, Educated, Industrialised, Rich, and Democratic) countries from the Global North. As public awareness of SRM is usually low, we provided participants with information on SRM, including key arguments in favour of and against SRM that appear in the scientific debate. On average, acceptability of SRM was significantly higher in the Global South than in the ‘non-WEIRD’ Global North, while acceptability in the ‘WEIRD’ Global North was in between. However, we found substantial variation within these clusters, especially in the ‘non-WEIRD’ Global North, suggesting that countries do not form homogenous clusters and should thus be considered individually. Moreover, the average participants’ views, while generally neither strong nor polarised, differed from some expert views in important ways, including that participants perceived SRM as only slightly effective in limiting global warming. Still, our data suggests overall a conditional, reluctant acceptance. That is, while on average, people think SRM would have mostly negative consequences, they may still be willing to tolerate it as a potential last resort to fight global warming, particularly if they think SRM has only minor negative (or even positive) impacts on humans and nature.

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公众对太阳辐射管理的看法:全球 20 个国家的跨文化研究
有些人认为,以太阳辐射管理(SRM)作为减缓气候变化措施的补充,可能是将全球升温控制在 1.5 ℃以内的最后手段。要就是否使用太阳能辐射管理做出对社会负责的决定,还必须考虑全球范围内的公众意见,特别是全球南部的公众意见,因为全球变暖和太阳能辐射管理都会给全球南部带来最大的风险。然而,关于公众对可持续土地管理的看法的研究大多来自全球北方。我们报告了首次大规模跨文化研究的结果,该研究涉及 20 个国家的公众(2,248 人)和学生(4,583 人),涵盖所有有人居住的大陆,其中包括 5 个全球南部国家和 5 个全球北部的 "非 WEIRD"(即非西方、非教育、非工业化、非富裕和非民主)国家。由于公众对可持续土地管理的认识通常较低,我们向与会者提供了有关可持续土地管理的信息,包括在科学辩论中出现的赞成和反对可持续土地管理的主要论点。平均而言,南半球国家对可持续土地管理的接受程度明显高于 "非世界环境与发展 "的北半球国家,而 "世界环境与发展 "的北半球国家对可持续土地管理的接受程度则介于两者之间。然而,我们发现在这些群组内部,尤其是在 "非世界环境与发展 "的全球北方地区,存在着很大的差异,这表明各国并没有形成同质群组,因此应单独加以考虑。此外,普通参与者的观点虽然总体上既不强烈也不两极分化,但在一些重要方面却与一些专家的观点不同,包括参与者认为可持续土地管理在限制全球变暖方面只是略有成效。尽管如此,我们的数据表明,总体而言,人们还是有条件地、勉强地接受了这一观点。也就是说,虽然平均而言,人们认为SRM会带来大部分负面影响,但他们仍然愿意容忍SRM作为应对全球变暖的最后手段,特别是如果他们认为SRM对人类和自然只有轻微的负面(甚至正面)影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
Climatic Change
Climatic Change 环境科学-环境科学
CiteScore
10.20
自引率
4.20%
发文量
180
审稿时长
7.5 months
期刊介绍: Climatic Change is dedicated to the totality of the problem of climatic variability and change - its descriptions, causes, implications and interactions among these. The purpose of the journal is to provide a means of exchange among those working in different disciplines on problems related to climatic variations. This means that authors have an opportunity to communicate the essence of their studies to people in other climate-related disciplines and to interested non-disciplinarians, as well as to report on research in which the originality is in the combinations of (not necessarily original) work from several disciplines. The journal also includes vigorous editorial and book review sections.
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