The nation’s Attitude towards the Main Social Contradictions in Russian Society: Current State, Dynamics, Factors

I. Dudin
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Abstract

The special military operation on the territory of Ukraine has become the main catalyst for certain significant changes now occurring in the public mind. Tensions between Russia and Western powers have reached their highest point in the country’s modern history. Given the circumstances, what contradictions do the Russian people consider to be the most pressing and fundamental? Have their overall views changed compared to previous years? What factors primarily influence how the contradictions within Russian society are perceived? In order to answer these questions, the article presents an analysis of changes in the attitude of Russian people towards contradictions of various nature, based on data from nationwide surveys conducted by IS FCTAS RAS in 2005, 2015 and 2023. Groups of contradictions were analyzed that differ in terms of the dynamics of popular attitudes towards them for the time period in question. It is shown that in 2005–2015 Russian people were most upset on account of economic contradictions. However by 2023 ideological contradictions came to the forefront, which in no small part contributed to the emergence of a new contradiction that can be considered the most crucial one of that particular year, referring to the divide between supporters and opponents of Russia’s policy towards Ukraine. Residents of Moscow and St. Petersburg more often than not would take a very particular stance in regards to contradictions within Russian society from 2005 to 2015, as well as young people under the age of 25 and citizens who considered their financial situation to be subpar. In the summer of 2023, financial status of citizens in their subjective understanding still had a serious impact on how the severity of the key contradictions in Russian society was perceived. However, we can now add worldview factors to the list of important determinants influencing attitudes towards them, such as: specific political views, attitudes towards the main power structures, primarily towards the President and the State Duma.
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国民对俄罗斯社会主要矛盾的态度:现状、动态、因素
乌克兰领土上的特别军事行动已成为目前公众思想中某些重大变化的主要催化剂。俄罗斯与西方列强之间的紧张关系达到了该国现代史上的最高点。在这种情况下,俄罗斯人民认为哪些矛盾是最紧迫和最根本的?与前几年相比,他们的总体看法是否发生了变化?哪些因素是影响人们如何看待俄罗斯社会内部矛盾的主要因素?为了回答这些问题,文章根据俄罗斯统计信息与统计分析研究所(IS FCTAS RAS)于 2005 年、2015 年和 2023 年进行的全国性调查数据,分析了俄罗斯人对不同性质矛盾的态度变化。文章分析了各组矛盾,这些矛盾在相关时期的民众态度动态方面存在差异。结果表明,在 2005-2015 年,俄罗斯人对经济矛盾最为不满。然而,到了 2023 年,意识形态矛盾凸显出来,这在很大程度上导致了新矛盾的出现,可以说这是该年度最关键的矛盾,指的是俄罗斯对乌克兰政策的支持者和反对者之间的分歧。从2005年到2015年,莫斯科和圣彼得堡的居民,以及25岁以下的年轻人和认为自己经济状况不佳的公民,往往会对俄罗斯社会内部的矛盾采取非常特殊的立场。2023 年夏天,公民主观认识中的经济状况对如何看待俄罗斯社会主要矛盾的严重性仍有严重影响。然而,我们现在可以在影响对其态度的重要决定因素清单中增加世界观因素,如:具体的政治观点、对主要权力机构的态度,主要是对总统和国家杜马的态度。
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