{"title":"Construction of mathematical model for integration of engineering cost prediction and multiple algorithms","authors":"Rufang Zhang","doi":"10.1680/jsmic.23.00061","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"As a key link in engineering construction, reasonable evaluation of engineering cost can effectively control the budget and save costs. Therefore, the reliability of the engineering cost estimation will directly affect the economic status of the whole project. However, traditional prediction models are based on a single machine learning method, which is not generalized enough and has low accuracy. In view of this, a mathematical model for engineering cost prediction is constructed by combining a random forest algorithm, ridge regression algorithm, and extreme gradient boosting (XG Boost) algorithm to obtain a prediction model with higher generalization and accuracy, and to evaluate the cost of engineering projects reasonably and scientifically. The average relative error between predicted and actual values was only 0.872%. The root mean square error and average percentage error of the fusion model were relatively small. The superiority of the proposed mathematical model of prediction cost is verified, and the model possesses a certain application value in construction engineering, providing practical reference and guidance for engineering cost prediction.","PeriodicalId":510830,"journal":{"name":"Proceedings of the Institution of Civil Engineers - Smart Infrastructure and Construction","volume":"120 34","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2024-03-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Proceedings of the Institution of Civil Engineers - Smart Infrastructure and Construction","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1680/jsmic.23.00061","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
As a key link in engineering construction, reasonable evaluation of engineering cost can effectively control the budget and save costs. Therefore, the reliability of the engineering cost estimation will directly affect the economic status of the whole project. However, traditional prediction models are based on a single machine learning method, which is not generalized enough and has low accuracy. In view of this, a mathematical model for engineering cost prediction is constructed by combining a random forest algorithm, ridge regression algorithm, and extreme gradient boosting (XG Boost) algorithm to obtain a prediction model with higher generalization and accuracy, and to evaluate the cost of engineering projects reasonably and scientifically. The average relative error between predicted and actual values was only 0.872%. The root mean square error and average percentage error of the fusion model were relatively small. The superiority of the proposed mathematical model of prediction cost is verified, and the model possesses a certain application value in construction engineering, providing practical reference and guidance for engineering cost prediction.