Loss Aversion Distribution: The Science Behind Loss Aversion Exhibited by Sellers of Perishable Good

Daniel Koh
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Abstract

This research introduces the concept of the loss aversion distribution, a pioneering framework designed for the analysis of consumer behavior. Departing from the conventions of traditional exponential models, this innovative approach incorporates a non-memoryless characteristic, which modulates the consumer's response to loss aversion throughout the product's life cycle. This modulation is achieved by a variable exponent influenced by the parameter $b$, representing the psychological impact of loss aversion, and the constant $k$, which reflects the market value of the good at the time of manufacture. Together, these parameters adeptly encapsulate the dynamic nature of consumer loss aversion from the moment of manufacture to the point of expiry. The model elucidates an initial muted response from consumers at the onset of ownership, which then intensifies during the mid-life cycle of the product, before ultimately diminishing as the product approaches its expiry. Through a meticulous derivative analysis of the probability density function, the study delineates the distribution's key properties, including its monotonicity, boundedness within the interval [0, 1], and its adherence to non-negativity. This framework not only enhances our comprehension of consumer behavior in relation to perishable goods but also paves the way for further investigations into psychometrics and the intricacies of loss aversion modeling.
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损失厌恶分布:易腐商品卖家损失规避行为背后的科学原理
这项研究引入了损失厌恶分布的概念,这是一个专为分析消费者行为而设计的开创性框架。与传统指数模型的惯例不同,这种创新方法包含了一种无记忆特性,可在产品的整个生命周期中调节消费者对损失厌恶的反应。这种调节是通过一个可变指数实现的,该指数受代表损失厌恶心理影响的参数 $b$ 和反映商品生产时市场价值的常数 $k$ 的影响。这些参数巧妙地概括了消费者从生产到过期的损失规避的动态性质。该模型阐明了消费者在购买产品之初的反应,这种反应在产品的生命周期中期会加剧,最终随着产品的到期而减弱。通过对概率密度函数进行细致的导数分析,研究界定了该分布的关键属性,包括单调性、区间[0, 1]内的有界性以及非负性。这一框架不仅增强了我们对与易腐商品相关的消费者行为的理解,还为进一步研究心理计量学和错综复杂的损失厌恶模型铺平了道路。
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