Leveraging uncertainty, market-power, and fiscal opacity: The growth of financial security states

Leon Wansleben
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Abstract

Since 2008, we have observed a more prominent role of the state in economic life, with the widespread use of financial tools. Advancing discussions on the financialization of distributional politics, the expansion of financial statecraft as a result of fiscal conflicts, and the fragmentation of state power, this article explores how proliferating financial policies reconfigure the state and its relationship with the economy as well as its democratic foundations. I introduce the concept of financial security states to theorize reactions to mature financialization and its inherent instabilities, which provoke socially structured demands for public stabilization. Leveraging the tradition of fiscal sociology, I work out differences between taxation and welfare systems and those based on financial security. In particular, I show that financial security states exploit value uncertainties to postpone loss-reckoning, are carried by hybrid state-banking institutions, and leverage the states’ endogenous power within market-based finance. This article argues that the by-and-large regressive distributional outcomes and fiscal costs of financial policies remain opaque, due to strategic obfuscation, the failure of traditional modes of political mediation, and deficient budgeting procedures.
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利用不确定性、市场力量和财政不透明:金融安全国家的发展
自 2008 年以来,随着金融工具的广泛应用,我们发现国家在经济生活中的作用更加突出。本文推进了关于分配政治的金融化、财政冲突导致的金融国策扩张以及国家权力碎片化的讨论,探讨了不断扩散的金融政策如何重构国家及其与经济的关系,以及国家的民主基础。我引入了 "金融安全国家"(financial security states)的概念,对成熟的金融化及其固有的不稳定性所引发的社会结构性的公共稳定需求进行理论分析。借助财政社会学的传统,我找出了税收和福利制度与基于金融安全的制度之间的差异。我特别指出,金融安全国家利用价值的不确定性来推迟损失补偿,由混合的国家银行机构来承载,并利用国家在市场化金融中的内生力量。本文认为,由于战略模糊、传统政治调解模式的失败以及预算编制程序的缺陷,金融政策的分配倒退结果和财政成本在很大程度上仍然是不透明的。
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