The Role of Profitability Intervening Variables in Stock Return Model

Luqman Hakim, Mery Wanialisa, Ayu Puspitaningtyas
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Abstract

This research aims to explore the impact of the Loan to Deposit Ratio (LDR) and Interest Rates (IR) on the profitability indicators, specifically Return on Assets (ROA) and Stock Return (SR). The motivation for this investigation arises from observed differences in various research findings and real-world events, prompting a reassessment by researchers. The study adopts a quantitative descriptive approach, employing panel data multiple regression analysis with 20 cross-sectional samples spanning a 6-year time series. The research formula is crafted to optimize Stock Return by including Return on Assets as an intervening variable, focusing particularly on companies within the banking sector listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. Two distinct research models are formulated and integrated into a unified model, subjected to rigorous model selection tests such as Chow Test, Hausman Test, and Lagrange Multiplier Test. The study's results suggest that LDR can only indirectly influence SR through the mediating role of ROA. Furthermore, IR has a direct impact on SR without the mediation of ROA. These findings are expected to offer valuable guidance for banking practitioners in Indonesia and market participants, aiding them in maximizing Stock Returns
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盈利能力干预变量在股票回报模型中的作用
本研究旨在探讨贷存比(LDR)和利率(IR)对盈利指标,特别是资产回报率(ROA)和股票回报率(SR)的影响。本研究的动机源于观察到的各种研究结果与现实世界事件之间的差异,这促使研究人员进行重新评估。本研究采用定量描述方法,对 20 个横截面样本进行面板数据多元回归分析,时间跨度为 6 年。通过将资产回报率作为干预变量,研究公式旨在优化股票回报率,尤其关注在印尼证券交易所上市的银行业公司。研究制定了两个不同的研究模型,并将其整合为一个统一的模型,接受了严格的模型选择测试,如 Chow Test、Hausman Test 和 Lagrange Multiplier Test。研究结果表明,LDR 只能通过 ROA 的中介作用间接影响 SR。此外,IR 对 SR 有直接影响,而不需要 ROA 的中介作用。这些研究结果有望为印尼银行从业人员和市场参与者提供有价值的指导,帮助他们实现股票回报最大化。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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