Identifying failure types in cyber-physical water distribution networks using machine learning models

Utsav Parajuli, Sangmin Shin
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Abstract

Water cyber-physical systems (CPSs) have experienced anomalies from cyber-physical attacks as well as conventional physical and operational failures (e.g., pipe leaks/bursts). In this regard, rapidly distinguishing and identifying a facing failure event from other possible failure events is necessary to take rapid emergency and recovery actions and, in turn, strengthen system's resilience. This paper investigated the performance of machine learning classification models – Support Vector Machine (SVM), Random Forest (RF), and artificial neural networks (ANNs) – to differentiate and identify failure events that can occur in a water distribution network (WDN). Datasets for model features related to tank water levels, nodal pressure, and water flow of pumps and valves were produced using hydraulic model simulation (WNTR and epanetCPA tools) for C-Town WDN under pipe leaks/bursts, cyber-attacks, and physical attacks. The evaluation of accuracy, precision, recall, and F1-score for the three models in failure type identification showed the variation of their performances depending on the specific failure types and data noise levels. Based on the findings, this study discussed insights into building a framework consisting of multiple classification models, rather than relying on a single best-performing model, for the reliable classification and identification of failure types in WDNs.
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利用机器学习模型识别网络物理配水管网的故障类型
水网络物理系统(CPS)曾经历过网络物理攻击以及传统物理和运行故障(如管道泄漏/爆裂)造成的异常情况。在这方面,从其他可能的故障事件中快速区分和识别所面临的故障事件是采取快速应急和恢复行动的必要条件,反过来也能增强系统的恢复能力。本文研究了机器学习分类模型--支持向量机(SVM)、随机森林(RF)和人工神经网络(ANN)--在区分和识别配水管网(WDN)中可能发生的故障事件方面的性能。利用水力模型模拟(WNTR 和 epanetCPA 工具)为 C 镇 WDN 在管道泄漏/爆裂、网络攻击和物理攻击的情况下生成了与水箱水位、节点压力以及水泵和阀门的水流量相关的模型特征数据集。对三种模型在故障类型识别中的准确度、精确度、召回率和 F1 分数进行的评估表明,它们的性能因具体故障类型和数据噪声水平而异。基于这些发现,本研究探讨了如何建立一个由多个分类模型组成的框架,而不是依赖于一个表现最佳的模型,以可靠地分类和识别 WDN 中的故障类型。
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