The Relationship Between High-Income Countries in Middle East and North Africa on Energy Consumption and Increase in Gross Domestic Product

Mehmet Ataş, Idris Sarisoy, Fikriye Ceren Bostancı
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Abstract

Electricity, which emerged as a secondary energy source, has been one of the important input items in production since its widespread use. In this study, it is analyzed in 7 countries (Bahrain, United Arab Emirates, Israel, Qatar, Qatar, Kuwait, Oman and Saudi Arabia) in the high-income Middle East and North Africa (MENA) countries group. Using data on public and commercial services, residential, industrial, total other sectors (agriculture, transportation), total electricity consumed and GDP for the period 1990-2021, the relationship between sectoral electricity consumption and economic growth is analyzed with the Panel Granger causality test. As a result of the analysis, while there is no long-run relationship between public and commercial services, residential, total other sectors (agriculture, transportation) and total electricity consumed and growth, there is no causality relationship between these variables, while there is a unidirectional causality relationship from growth to electricity consumption in industry. Contrary to previous studies, the reason for the absence of a causality relationship from electricity consumption to GDP growth in this study is that export revenues from natural resources and high-tech products make a significant contribution to the GDP formation of the countries included in the analysis. These results show that, contrary to the same directional relationship between electricity consumption and GDP growth in the literature, it is not valid for natural resource and high technology exporter countries. We can say that the results of the study make an important contribution to the literature in this respect.
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中东和北非高收入国家能源消耗与国内生产总值增长之间的关系
作为二次能源出现的电力,自广泛使用以来一直是重要的生产投入项目之一。本研究对中东和北非(MENA)高收入国家组中的 7 个国家(巴林、阿拉伯联合酋长国、以色列、卡塔尔、科威特、阿曼和沙特阿拉伯)进行了分析。利用 1990-2021 年期间公共和商业服务、住宅、工业、其他部门(农业、运输)、总耗电量和国内生产总值的数据,通过面板格兰杰因果检验分析了部门耗电量与经济增长之间的关系。分析结果表明,虽然公共和商业服务、居民、其他部门(农业、运输)和总用电量与经济增长之间不存在长期关系,这些变量之间也不存在因果关系,但经济增长与工业用电量之间存在单向因果关系。与以往的研究相反,本研究中用电量与 GDP 增长之间没有因果关系的原因是,自然资源和高科技产品的出口收入对分析对象国的 GDP 形成做出了重大贡献。这些结果表明,与文献中相同的电力消费与 GDP 增长之间的定向关系相反,这种关系在自然资源和高科技出口国并不成立。可以说,研究结果为这方面的文献做出了重要贡献。
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