Study on Factors Influencing Women's Willingness to Marry in China

Huashuai Tan, Jing Jin
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Abstract

In recent decade, the marriage rate of young males and females in China has been declining. The declining marriage rate and the rising postponement of marriage and childbearing result in China's low fertility rate and ageing, which pose challenges to the country. Using data from the China General Social Survey, this paper performs Random Forest to explore the factors influencing women's willingness to marry. The results suggest that objective factors are more important than subjective factors in influencing women's intention to marry in China.
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中国女性结婚意愿影响因素研究
近十年来,中国青年男女的结婚率不断下降。结婚率的下降和推迟婚育现象的增加导致了中国的低生育率和老龄化,这给中国带来了挑战。本文利用中国社会总体调查数据,采用随机森林方法探讨影响女性结婚意愿的因素。结果表明,在影响中国女性结婚意愿方面,客观因素比主观因素更重要。
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