Construction Project Delay Risk Assessment Based on 4M1E Framework and Afghanistan Situation

Hijratullah Sharifzada, Deming Yu
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Abstract

In the realm of construction project management, delays present a significant impediment, particularly within complex socio-political contexts such as Afghanistan. This study endeavors to elucidate the multifaceted nature of construction project delays in Afghanistan, employing the 4M1E (Man, Machine, Material, Method, and Environment) framework to conduct a comprehensive risk assessment. The research methodology entailed the development of a structured questionnaire grounded in an extensive review of pertinent literature, targeting 30 recognized causes of project delays. This instrument was administered to a representative sample of 144 professionals across the Afghan construction industry spectrum, including clients, consultants, and contractors. Analytical rigor was applied through the deployment of frequency, severity, and importance indices to evaluate the collected data. This analysis culminated in the distillation of ten paramount delay risk factors, encapsulating elements such as governmental policy stability modifications in project scope and design alongside delays in material testing and approval processes. A comparative dimension was incorporated to benchmark these findings against global standards, thereby enhancing the robustness of the study’s conclusions. Moreover, the research delineates the congruence and discordance among different respondent cohorts, bolstering the integrity of the identified delay factors through a validation of internal consistency and reliability. The strategic application of the 4M1E framework, contextualized within the Afghan construction landscape, furnishes pivotal insights for stakeholders, equipping them with a nuanced understanding necessary for the proactive mitigation of delay risks. The implications of this study are far-reaching, promising to augment project completion efficiency, budget adherence, and overall project success, with particular resonance for environments paralleling the intricacies of Afghanistan. Doi: 10.28991/CEJ-2024-010-01-06 Full Text: PDF
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基于 4M1E 框架和阿富汗国情的建筑项目延误风险评估
在建筑项目管理领域,延误是一个重大障碍,尤其是在阿富汗这样复杂的社会政治环境中。本研究采用 4M1E(人、机器、材料、方法和环境)框架进行全面风险评估,努力阐明阿富汗建筑项目延误的多面性。研究方法包括在广泛查阅相关文献的基础上,针对 30 个公认的项目延误原因编制结构化问卷。该问卷调查了阿富汗建筑行业的 144 位专业人士,包括客户、顾问和承包商。通过使用频率、严重性和重要性指数对收集到的数据进行评估,从而进行了严格的分析。通过分析,最终提炼出十个最重要的延误风险因素,包括政府政策的稳定性、项目范围和设计的修改、材料测试和审批流程的延误等因素。研究还纳入了比较维度,将这些发现与全球标准进行比较,从而增强了研究结论的稳健性。此外,研究还界定了不同受访者群体之间的一致性和不一致性,通过对内部一致性和可靠性的验证,加强了所确定的延迟因素的完整性。4M1E 框架在阿富汗建筑业中的战略应用为利益相关者提供了重要的见解,使他们对主动降低延误风险有了必要的深入了解。这项研究意义深远,有望提高项目完工效率、预算遵守率和整体项目成功率,尤其适合阿富汗错综复杂的环境。Doi: 10.28991/CEJ-2024-010-01-06 全文:PDF
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