A blockchain-based dynamic energy pricing model for supply chain resiliency using machine learning

Moein Qaisari Hasan Abadi , Russell Sadeghi , Ava Hajian , Omid Shahvari , Amirehsan Ghasemi
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Abstract

The escalation of energy prices and the pressing environmental concerns associated with excessive energy consumption have compelled consumers to adopt a more optimal approach towards energy usage and an advanced infrastructure such as smart grids. Blockchain technology significantly improves energy management by creating supply chain resiliency in a distributed smart grid. This study proposes a blockchain-based decision-making framework with a dynamic energy pricing model to manage energy distributions, particularly during an energy crisis. Empirical data from U.S. consumers are employed to show the applicability of the proposed model. We include price elasticity to address changes in energy market prices. Findings revealed that the proposed framework reduces total energy costs and performs better when a disruption has occurred. This study provides a post hoc analysis in which four machine learning algorithms are used to predict energy consumption. Results suggest that the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) algorithm has the highest accuracy compared to other algorithms.

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基于区块链的动态能源定价模型,利用机器学习提高供应链弹性
能源价格的不断攀升以及与能源过度消耗相关的紧迫环境问题,迫使消费者对能源使用和智能电网等先进基础设施采取更优化的方法。区块链技术通过在分布式智能电网中建立供应链弹性,大大改善了能源管理。本研究提出了一个基于区块链的决策框架,该框架采用动态能源定价模型来管理能源分配,尤其是在能源危机期间。我们采用了美国消费者的经验数据来说明所提模型的适用性。我们加入了价格弹性,以应对能源市场价格的变化。研究结果表明,所提出的框架可以降低能源总成本,并在中断发生时发挥更好的作用。本研究提供了一项事后分析,其中使用了四种机器学习算法来预测能源消耗。结果表明,与其他算法相比,自回归综合移动平均(ARIMA)算法的准确率最高。
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