A quantitative approach for evaluating the impact of increased supply chain visibility

N. Orkun Baycik
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Abstract

Communication and collaboration between supply chain partners is more important than ever. To achieve this, visibility between different supply chain tiers is essential. Recent literature has discussed the benefits of increased supply chain visibility, but more research is necessary to provide concrete evidence. The main question this article aims to answer is about what parts of a supply chain are critical for establishing and increasing visibility. Toward this end, this study uses the amount of unmet customer demand as a performance measure, and performs simulations and empirical analysis on multi-tier supply chains of various sizes. Results indicate that the customers (i.e., downstream supply chain) are the most critical components, and the managers must focus on increasing visibility with them. In addition, visibility in the downstream can be nearly as effective as full visibility in specific settings: The maximum gap between the amounts of unmet demand for the two settings is about 7%. However, the main value of full visibility becomes more apparent when significant deviations exist between forecasted and actual customer demand amounts. As the experiments demonstrate, full visibility in the entire supply chain is the most effective level of visibility.

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评估提高供应链能见度影响的定量方法
供应链合作伙伴之间的沟通与协作比以往任何时候都更加重要。为此,不同供应链层之间的可视性至关重要。最近有文献讨论了提高供应链可见度的好处,但还需要更多的研究来提供具体的证据。本文旨在回答的主要问题是,供应链的哪些部分对建立和提高可见性至关重要。为此,本研究使用未满足的客户需求量作为绩效衡量标准,并对不同规模的多层供应链进行了模拟和实证分析。结果表明,客户(即下游供应链)是最关键的组成部分,管理者必须把重点放在提高与客户的能见度上。此外,在特定情况下,下游的可见性几乎与完全可见性一样有效:两种情况下未满足需求量的最大差距约为 7%。然而,当预测需求量与客户实际需求量之间存在显著偏差时,完全可见性的主要价值就会变得更加明显。正如实验所证明的,整个供应链的完全可视性是最有效的可视性水平。
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