Democratic Climate Policies with Overlapping Generations

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Abstract

An extensive climate policy literature provides various recommendations for mitigating climate change, but these recommendations are not supported democratically, since the models employed consider either infinitely-lived individuals or normative social objectives (or both). In contrast, the present paper provides policy recommendations capable of incorporating democratic processes. I develop an overlapping generation model with political process micro-foundations and show how democratic climate policies are interconnected with other democratic policies. Time inconsistent social objectives combined with commitment issues lead to an inefficient tax on capital accumulation and a climate policy below the efficient level; while suppressing the tax on capital accumulation generates a climate policy even further below the efficient level. I derive a novel politico-economic Keynes–Ramsey rule for the market interest rate, which is useful for calculating the climate policy level. I show that individual pure time preference, individual altruism toward descendants, and young generation political power are key determinants of democratic climate policy ambition.

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世代交替的民主气候政策
摘要 大量的气候政策文献为减缓气候变化提供了各种建议,但这些建议并没有得到民主支持,因为所采用的模型要么考虑了无限寿命的个人,要么考虑了规范性的社会目标(或两者兼而有之)。相比之下,本文提供的政策建议能够纳入民主进程。我建立了一个具有政治进程微观基础的重叠世代模型,并展示了民主气候政策如何与其他民主政策相互关联。时间不一致的社会目标与承诺问题相结合,导致了低效率的资本积累税和低于有效水平的气候政策;而抑制资本积累税则会产生进一步低于有效水平的气候政策。我为市场利率推导出了一个新颖的政治经济学凯恩斯-拉姆齐规则,它有助于计算气候政策水平。我的研究表明,个人的纯时间偏好、个人对后代的利他主义以及年轻一代的政治力量是决定民主气候政策雄心的关键因素。
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