Party Like It’s 1999?

IF 2.8 3区 计算机科学 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, HARDWARE & ARCHITECTURE IEEE Micro Pub Date : 2024-04-05 DOI:10.1109/mm.2024.3372349
Shane Greenstein
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Abstract

Generative AI has created a gold rush today, but that rush has not yet grown into either a productivity boom or a financial bubble. There are good reasons to think this rush could become either one. Some productivity gains seems likely, but the emergence of a financial bubble is more difficult to predict. Do today's conditions resemble those that created a bubble in the late 1990s? We consider a few crucial similarities and differences between the dot-com boom and telecom bubble of the late 1990s and the recent experience with generative AI
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像 1999 年一样狂欢?
如今,生成式人工智能掀起了一股淘金热,但这股淘金热尚未发展成生产力繁荣或金融泡沫。我们有充分的理由认为,这股淘金热有可能演变成其中的任何一种。生产率提高似乎是有可能的,但金融泡沫的出现则更难预测。今天的情况是否类似于上世纪 90 年代末的泡沫?我们认为,20 世纪 90 年代末的互联网繁荣和电信泡沫与最近的生成式人工智能之间存在一些重要的相似之处和不同之处
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来源期刊
IEEE Micro
IEEE Micro 工程技术-计算机:软件工程
CiteScore
7.50
自引率
0.00%
发文量
164
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: IEEE Micro addresses users and designers of microprocessors and microprocessor systems, including managers, engineers, consultants, educators, and students involved with computers and peripherals, components and subassemblies, communications, instrumentation and control equipment, and guidance systems. Contributions should relate to the design, performance, or application of microprocessors and microcomputers. Tutorials, review papers, and discussions are also welcome. Sample topic areas include architecture, communications, data acquisition, control, hardware and software design/implementation, algorithms (including program listings), digital signal processing, microprocessor support hardware, operating systems, computer aided design, languages, application software, and development systems.
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