Applicability of Simulated Precipitation for the Rainfall Flood Forecasting in the Amur Basin

IF 1.4 4区 地球科学 Q4 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Russian Meteorology and Hydrology Pub Date : 2024-04-01 DOI:10.3103/s1068373924010035
E. M. Verbitskaya, S. V. Ageeva, L. V. Gonchukov, S. O. Romanskii
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Abstract

The studies of the applicability of simulated precipitation in hydrological calculations and forecasts are presented on the example of the Amur basin rivers. It is shown that the use of simulated precipitation has a positive effect on forecasting rainfall floods in case of a sparse observational network. There is an especially noticeable lack of hydrological and precipitation data on the catchments of the Amur right-bank tributaries located in China (the Songhua River and its tributaries), whose runoff is a significant contributor to the water balance of the Middle and Lower Amur. It is revealed that the catchment-averaged fluctuations in simulated 5-day total precipitation above and below a certain threshold are linked to the temporal variations in water levels at the outlets of the Amur partial catchments.

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模拟降水量在阿穆尔河流域降雨洪水预报中的适用性
摘要 以阿穆尔河流域为例,介绍了模拟降水在水文计算和预报中的适用性研究。研究表明,在观测网络稀少的情况下,使用模拟降水对预报降雨洪水具有积极作用。位于中国境内的阿穆尔河右岸支流(松花江及其支流)流域的水文和降水数据尤为缺乏,而这些支流的径流对阿穆尔河中下游的水量平衡起着重要作用。研究表明,模拟 5 天总降水量在某一临界值上下的流域平均波动与阿穆尔河部分流域出口水位的时间变化有关。
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来源期刊
Russian Meteorology and Hydrology
Russian Meteorology and Hydrology METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES-
CiteScore
1.70
自引率
28.60%
发文量
44
审稿时长
4-8 weeks
期刊介绍: Russian Meteorology and Hydrology is a peer reviewed journal that covers topical issues of hydrometeorological science and practice: methods of forecasting weather and hydrological phenomena, climate monitoring issues, environmental pollution, space hydrometeorology, agrometeorology.
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