{"title":"Does policy uncertainty travel across borders? Evidence from MNC subsidiary investment decisions","authors":"Xi Zhou , Min Xiao , Huiying Wu , Jiaxing You","doi":"10.1016/j.jbankfin.2024.107195","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Using a large-scale proprietary data set from China, we examine the cross-border transmission of policy uncertainty within multinational corporations (MNCs). Our results show that policy uncertainty in MNCs’ home countries negatively affects the capital investment of their foreign subsidiaries. Our analyses of cross-sectional heterogeneity reveal that the effect is strengthened by subsidiary-level investment irreversibility and the dependence of subsidiaries on parent firms, and weakened by bilateral meetings and psychic closeness between the home and host countries. Together these findings suggest that policy uncertainty travels across borders and has a spillover effect on foreign subsidiary investment.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48460,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Banking & Finance","volume":"163 ","pages":"Article 107195"},"PeriodicalIF":3.6000,"publicationDate":"2024-04-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Banking & Finance","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378426624001122","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"BUSINESS, FINANCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
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Abstract
Using a large-scale proprietary data set from China, we examine the cross-border transmission of policy uncertainty within multinational corporations (MNCs). Our results show that policy uncertainty in MNCs’ home countries negatively affects the capital investment of their foreign subsidiaries. Our analyses of cross-sectional heterogeneity reveal that the effect is strengthened by subsidiary-level investment irreversibility and the dependence of subsidiaries on parent firms, and weakened by bilateral meetings and psychic closeness between the home and host countries. Together these findings suggest that policy uncertainty travels across borders and has a spillover effect on foreign subsidiary investment.
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The Journal of Banking and Finance (JBF) publishes theoretical and empirical research papers spanning all the major research fields in finance and banking. The aim of the Journal of Banking and Finance is to provide an outlet for the increasing flow of scholarly research concerning financial institutions and the money and capital markets within which they function. The Journal''s emphasis is on theoretical developments and their implementation, empirical, applied, and policy-oriented research in banking and other domestic and international financial institutions and markets. The Journal''s purpose is to improve communications between, and within, the academic and other research communities and policymakers and operational decision makers at financial institutions - private and public, national and international, and their regulators. The Journal is one of the largest Finance journals, with approximately 1500 new submissions per year, mainly in the following areas: Asset Management; Asset Pricing; Banking (Efficiency, Regulation, Risk Management, Solvency); Behavioural Finance; Capital Structure; Corporate Finance; Corporate Governance; Derivative Pricing and Hedging; Distribution Forecasting with Financial Applications; Entrepreneurial Finance; Empirical Finance; Financial Economics; Financial Markets (Alternative, Bonds, Currency, Commodity, Derivatives, Equity, Energy, Real Estate); FinTech; Fund Management; General Equilibrium Models; High-Frequency Trading; Intermediation; International Finance; Hedge Funds; Investments; Liquidity; Market Efficiency; Market Microstructure; Mergers and Acquisitions; Networks; Performance Analysis; Political Risk; Portfolio Optimization; Regulation of Financial Markets and Institutions; Risk Management and Analysis; Systemic Risk; Term Structure Models; Venture Capital.
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