Global chessboard: Analyzing how geopolitical risk shapes renewable energy technology investments.

Xin Zheng, Chang Li, Sajid Ali, T. Adebayo
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Abstract

The allocation of budgets for renewable energy (RE) technology is significantly influenced by geopolitical risks (GPRs), reflecting the intricate interplay among global political dynamics, social media narratives, and the strategic investment decisions essential for advancing sustainable energy solutions. Against the backdrop of increasing worldwide initiatives to transition to RE sources, it is crucial to understand how GPR affects funding allocations, informing policy decisions, and fostering international collaboration to pursue sustainable energy solutions. Existing work probes the nonlinear effect of GPR on RE technology budgets (RTB) within the top 10 economies characterized by substantial research and development investments in RE (China, USA, Germany, Japan, France, South Korea, India, the United Kingdom, Australia, and Italy). Past research largely focused on panel data techniques to delve the interconnection between GPR and RE technology, overlooking the distinctive characteristics of individual economies. Contrarily, existing investigation implements the "Quantile-on-Quantile" tool to explore this association on an economy-particular basis, enhancing the precision of our analysis and offering both a comprehensive global perspective and nuanced perceptions for entire countries. The findings manifest a significant reduction in funding for RE technology associated with GPR across various quantile levels in the chosen economies. The disparities in results spotlight the necessity for policymakers to perform thorough assessments and carry out competent strategies to address the variations in GPR and RTB.
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全球棋盘:分析地缘政治风险如何影响可再生能源技术投资。
可再生能源(RE)技术的预算分配受到地缘政治风险(GPRs)的重大影响,反映了全球政治动态、社交媒体言论以及对推进可持续能源解决方案至关重要的战略投资决策之间错综复杂的相互作用。在全球向可再生能源过渡的倡议日益增多的背景下,了解地缘政治风险如何影响资金分配、为政策决策提供信息以及促进国际合作以寻求可持续能源解决方案至关重要。在可再生能源研发投入巨大的前 10 个经济体(中国、美国、德国、日本、法国、韩国、印度、英国、澳大利亚和意大利)中,现有研究探讨了 GPR 对可再生能源技术预算(RTB)的非线性影响。过去的研究主要集中在面板数据技术上,以探究 GPR 与可再生能源技术之间的相互联系,忽略了单个经济体的独特性。与此相反,现有的研究采用了 "Quantile-on-Quantile "工具,在特定经济体的基础上探讨这种关联,从而提高了我们分析的精确性,既提供了全面的全球视角,又对整个国家提供了细致入微的感知。研究结果表明,在所选经济体中,与全球可再生能源比例相关的可再生能源技术资金在不同数量级上都有显著减少。结果的差异突出表明,政策制定者有必要进行全面评估,并实施适当的战略,以应对全球可再生能源生产率和可再生能源技术的差异。
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