Predictability and Liberty

Susan Gardner, Daniel Anderson
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Abstract

Predictability tends to elicit a clear behavioral response and hence, for humans, it is a basic need in both their physical and social environment. However, the liberty inherent in a democratic society makes life essentially unpredictable and, in this sense, may create a sense of unease in its citizens who then may strive for stability in dogma. Dogmatism, however, is antithetical to democratic liberty. Once we take up this Janus focus of democracy, i.e., that it can lead to the best of times and the worst of times, it becomes clear that, to preserve democracy, we must educationally invest in anchoring predictability in the individuals rather than in the environment in which they subsist, and that we can achieve this (i) by explicating clearly to young citizens that the chaos of reasons doing battle is fundamentally different from the chaos of persons doing battle, and (ii) by shoring up what Charles Taylor (1989) calls strong evaluation, i.e., shoring up the ability to confidently and independently judge the worth of any proposed action and how it reflects on one’s ideal self. We will argue, perhaps counterintuitively, that this confidence in the predictability of one’s capacity for independent thought can best be achieved through an education that affords frequent engagement in “truth-seeking” interpersonal inquiries of the sort frequently utilized the practice of Philosophy for Children, but one that is buttressed by reinforcing the belief in Truth and, as well, by exposing participants to “truth-seeking” interpersonal dialogues that are focused on genuine, relevant, and difficult moral quandaries.
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可预测性与自由
可预测性往往会引起明确的行为反应,因此,对人类而言,可预测性是其对物质和社会环境的基本需求。然而,民主社会所固有的自由使得生活本质上是不可预测的,从这个意义上说,这可能会给公民带来不安感,他们可能会在教条中寻求稳定。然而,教条主义与民主自由背道而驰。一旦我们接受了民主的这一焦点,即民主可能导致最好的时代,也可能导致最坏的时代,那么很明显,为了维护民主,我们必须在教育上投资,将可预测性固定在个人身上,而不是他们生存的环境中,我们可以通过以下方式实现这一点:(i) 向年轻公民清楚地解释,理由之争的混乱与个人之争的混乱有着本质区别;(ii) 加强查尔斯-泰勒(Charles Taylor,1989 年)所说的强有力的评价,即:"加强自信地、有把握地、有条不紊地进行决策的能力"、加强自信、独立地判断任何拟议行动的价值及其如何反映理想自我的能力。我们将反直觉地指出,这种对个人独立思考能力的可预测性的信心,最好是通过这样一种教育来实现,即经常参与 "寻求真理 "的人际探究,这种探究是儿童哲学实践中经常使用的一种方法,但这种方法要通过加强对真理的信念来支持,同时也要让参与者接触到 "寻求真理 "的人际对话,这种对话的重点是真正的、相关的和困难的道德窘境。
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