Trade-offs between Farm Incomes and Soil Loss: An Application of Bio-economic Modelling in a Semi-Arid Watershed in South India

Josily Samuel, .. Pushpanjali, C. Rao, B. Raju, K. V. Rao, R. Rejani, Ravi Dupdal, M. Rajeshwar
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Abstract

Soil erosion is an economic problem and the cost of soil loss and its consequences could be very harsh. The major threat facing the sustainability and productivity is erosion and the associated nutrient loss through run off. And climatic shocks like drought and floods also aggravate the soil loss Aims: The study aims to bring out the different plans and the tradeoff analysis of the conservation and degradation through a multi objective framework. Study Design:  Primary data was collected from the farmers of the Padmaram watershed, in Mahbubnagaar district, Telangana state in south India. A detailed questionnaire was prepared which included the current management practices, the input costs and output prices associated. And the soil loss was estimated using the RUSLE equation. And the tradeoffs were obtained by the multiobjective linear programming (MOLP) Place and Duration of Study:  The padmaram watershed was selected, from kondurg mandal of Mahabubnagar district of Telanagana. Methodology: The multi–objective linear programming MOLP, is employed to get an efficient solution where in conflicting objectives are simultaneously optimized subject to constraints. The soil loss under different climatic scenarios were modelled using the CMIP data for 2020s,2050s and 2080s. The impact of climate change on soil loss and farm incomes were also assessed. Results: The operational land holding of a small farmer was 1.32 ha, medium famer about 2.71 ha and a large farmer about 4.99 ha. Cotton and maize were two major crops grown in the watershed holding an area of 56 per cent followed by paddy which occupies about 15 per cent. The major rabi crops were maize and rabi paddy (9 %). The cropping intensity of the watershed was 116.87 per cent. The soil loss from 60.0% of the watershed area was below 3.0 t ha−1 y−1.  The soil loss from 27.5% area ranged from 3.1 to 4.5 t ha−1 y−1 and remaining 12.5% area have soil loss more than 4.6 t ha−1 y−1. Soil loss and net returns for future climate scenarios were assessed. Conclusion: The analysis of trade off between production and conservation would be useful in identifying optimum crop plans with reduction in soil loss. The results stress that the interventions in agriculture have varying costs and environmental and economic impacts. Their implementation requires appropriate investment decisions.
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农业收入与土壤流失之间的权衡:生物经济模型在南印度半干旱流域的应用
水土流失是一个经济问题,土壤流失的代价及其后果可能非常严重。水土流失和相关的养分流失是可持续性和生产力面临的主要威胁。研究目的:本研究旨在通过一个多目标框架,提出不同的计划,并对保护和退化进行权衡分析: 研究设计:从印度南部泰兰加纳邦马赫布布纳加尔区帕德马兰流域的农民那里收集了原始数据。我们编制了一份详细的调查问卷,其中包括当前的管理方法、相关投入成本和产出价格。使用 RUSLE 方程估算了土壤流失量。通过多目标线性规划(MOLP)得出权衡结果: 研究地点和时间:从 Telanagana 的 Mahabubnagar 区的 kondurg mandal 选出 padmaram 流域:采用多目标线性规划(MOLP)来获得有效的解决方案,在此过程中,相互冲突的目标会同时受到约束条件的优化。利用 2020 年代、2050 年代和 2080 年代的 CMIP 数据,模拟了不同气候情景下的土壤流失情况。同时还评估了气候变化对土壤流失和农业收入的影响:小农户的经营性土地面积为 1.32 公顷,中农户约为 2.71 公顷,大农户约为 4.99 公顷。棉花和玉米是流域内种植的两种主要作物,占 56%,其次是水稻,约占 15%。主要的雨季作物是玉米和雨季水稻(9%)。流域的种植密度为 116.87%。流域 60.0% 面积的土壤流失量低于 3.0 吨/公顷-年-1。 27.5% 流域面积的土壤流失量介于 3.1 至 4.5 吨/公顷-年-1 之间,其余 12.5% 流域面积的土壤流失量超过 4.6 吨/公顷-年-1。对未来气候情景下的土壤流失和净收益进行了评估:对生产和保护之间的权衡分析有助于确定减少土壤流失的最佳作物计划。结果强调,农业干预措施具有不同的成本以及环境和经济影响。实施这些干预措施需要做出适当的投资决策。
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