Drivers of Carbon Emissions in Kenya: The Perspective of Technology

naftaly mose, Michael Fumey, Edwin Kipchirchir
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Abstract

The empirical studies have portrayed from a different perspective that technology, foreign direct investment (FDI), and economic growth have diverse outcomes on carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions. African economies specifically Kenya are currently threatened with more CO2 emissions for which proper strategies need to be adopted to reduce and mitigate this situation. To address this issue, the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) technique was utilized, differentiating between the long-term and short-term effects of drivers of CO2. Granger causality was applied to analyze the causality between the series. The study uses time series data for Kenya from 1990 to 2022. The short-run and long-run results indicate a negative relationship between technology and carbon emissions. Specifically, an increase in technology reduces carbon emissions while an increase in economic growth and FDI inflow increases carbon emissions. The study has identified the negative nexus between technology and carbon emissions in Kenya. This means that technological innovation can increase labour productivity and utilization of resources, thereby reducing carbon emissions. Therefore, Kenya should increase research and utilization of low and efficient carbon technologies to decouple economic growth from environmental pollution. Based on the result, various strategies have been proposed, including using different clean technologies to produce renewable fuels. FDI that complies with environmental regulations, and the use of advanced green and clean technologies can help mitigate the negative impact of technological progress on the environment. Additionally, technological progress, particularly in information and communication technology, will reduce greenhouse gas emissions and improve environmental quality.
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肯尼亚碳排放的驱动因素:技术视角
实证研究从不同角度描绘了技术、外国直接投资(FDI)和经济增长对二氧化碳(CO2)排放的不同影响。非洲经济体,特别是肯尼亚,目前正面临着二氧化碳排放量增加的威胁,因此需要采取适当的战略来减少和缓解这种状况。为解决这一问题,我们采用了自回归分布滞后(ARDL)技术,区分二氧化碳驱动因素的长期和短期影响。格兰杰因果关系被用来分析序列之间的因果关系。研究使用了肯尼亚 1990 年至 2022 年的时间序列数据。短期和长期结果表明,技术与碳排放之间存在负相关关系。具体而言,技术的提高会减少碳排放,而经济增长和外国直接投资流入的增加会增加碳排放。这项研究确定了肯尼亚技术与碳排放之间的负相关关系。这意味着技术创新可以提高劳动生产率和资源利用率,从而减少碳排放。因此,肯尼亚应加强对低碳高效技术的研究和利用,使经济增长与环境污染脱钩。在此基础上,提出了各种战略,包括利用不同的清洁技术生产可再生燃料。符合环境法规的外国直接投资以及使用先进的绿色和清洁技术有助于减轻技术进步对环境的负面影响。此外,技术进步,特别是信息和通信技术的进步,将减少温室气体排放,改善环境质量。
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