Mathematical Analysis and Numerical Solution of a Boundary Value Problem for the Covid-19 SIR Model

PROOF Pub Date : 2024-04-03 DOI:10.37394/232020.2024.4.2
Serdar Saldiroğlu, S. Pamuk
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Abstract

This paper extends the work presented at IX. International Istanbul Scientific Research Congress held on May, 14-15, 2022, Istanbul/Türkiye. In that Congress the Authors narrowly focused on the numerical solutions of a boundary value problem for the Covid-19 SIR model appearing in literature. In this study this boundary value problem is solved numerically for all cases and also the stability analysis of the equilibrium points of the model is presented. The basic reproduction number R_0 is obtained and the importance of this number for the stability and the instability of the equilibrium points is emphasized. Numerical solutions are obtained using bvp4c, a boundary value problem solver in MATLAB and the results are presented in figures.
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Covid-19 SIR 模型边界值问题的数学分析和数值求解
本文是对 2022 年 5 月 14-15 日在土耳其伊斯坦布尔举行的 IX.国际伊斯坦布尔科学研究大会上所做工作的延伸。在那次大会上,作者们主要关注文献中出现的 Covid-19 SIR 模型边界值问题的数值解法。本研究对所有情况下的边界值问题进行了数值求解,并对模型的平衡点进行了稳定性分析。得到了基本再现数 R_0,并强调了该数对平衡点稳定性和不稳定性的重要性。使用 MATLAB 中的边界值问题求解器 bvp4c 获得了数值解,结果以图表形式呈现。
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