Point shaving? A novel experiment and new insights

IF 4.3 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance Pub Date : 2024-04-25 DOI:10.1016/j.jbef.2024.100935
Richard Borghesi , Rodney Paul , Andrew Weinbach
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Abstract

In light of the exponential growth in sports betting since 2018, a deeper understanding of the prevalence and nuances of corruption is needed. We demonstrate that in the venues and leagues where the likelihood of game fixing is high (among home teams and in NCAA basketball) point shaving markers are more pronounced, and where it is low (among visiting teams and in NCAA football) such indicators are muted. We explore this suspicious pattern via a natural experiment designed to exploit a positive exogenous shock in media scrutiny. Employing an exceptionally deep and broad dataset we show that corruption markers do not attenuate under social pressure and provide robust evidence that innocuous behaviors explain suspect game and wager outcomes. Our study establishes that a high degree of competitive integrity exists in the NCAA, NBA, and NFL.

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削尖?新颖的实验和新的见解
鉴于 2018 年以来体育博彩呈指数级增长,我们需要更深入地了解腐败的普遍性和细微差别。我们证明,在操纵比赛可能性较高的场馆和联赛中(主场球队和 NCAA 篮球赛事中),刨分指标更为明显,而在操纵比赛可能性较低的场馆和联赛中(客场球队和 NCAA 橄榄球赛事中),此类指标则不明显。我们通过一个自然实验来探索这种可疑的模式,该实验旨在利用媒体监督的积极外源冲击。我们使用了一个非常深入和广泛的数据集,结果表明腐败指标在社会压力下不会减弱,并提供了有力的证据,证明无害行为可以解释可疑的比赛和赌注结果。我们的研究证实,在 NCAA、NBA 和 NFL 中存在着高度的竞技诚信。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
13.20
自引率
6.10%
发文量
75
审稿时长
69 days
期刊介绍: Behavioral and Experimental Finance represent lenses and approaches through which we can view financial decision-making. The aim of the journal is to publish high quality research in all fields of finance, where such research is carried out with a behavioral perspective and / or is carried out via experimental methods. It is open to but not limited to papers which cover investigations of biases, the role of various neurological markers in financial decision making, national and organizational culture as it impacts financial decision making, sentiment and asset pricing, the design and implementation of experiments to investigate financial decision making and trading, methodological experiments, and natural experiments. Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance welcomes full-length and short letter papers in the area of behavioral finance and experimental finance. The focus is on rapid dissemination of high-impact research in these areas.
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