Development and validation of a self-updating gout register from electronic health records data

Abstract

Objective To develop an automatic gout register from electronic health records (EHRs) data. Methods We analysed the EHR of all patients >18 years old from a tertiary academic hospital (2013–2022) based on six criteria: International Classification of Diseases 10 gout diagnosis, urate-lowering therapy prescription, monosodium urate crystals in joint aspiration and gout-related terms in problem lists, clinical or imaging reports. We assessed the positive and negative predictive value (PPV and NPV) of the query by chart reviews. Results Of 2 110 902 outpatients and inpatients, 10 289 had at least one criterion for gout. The combination of joint aspiration OR diagnostic in the problem list OR≥2 other criteria created a register of 5138 patients, with a PPV of 92.4% (95% CI 88.5% to 95.0%) and an NPV of 94.3% (95% CI 91.9% to 96.0%). PPV and NPV were similar among outpatients and inpatients. Incidence was 2.9 per 1000 person-year and dropped by 30% from the COVID-19 pandemic onward. Patients with gout were on average 71.2 years old (SD 14.9), mainly male (76.5%), overweight (69.5%) and polymorbid (mean number of comorbidities of 3, IQR 1–5). More than half (57.4%) had received a urate-lowering treatment, 6.7% had a gout that led to a hospitalisation or ≥2 flares within a year and 32.9% received a rheumatology consultation. Conclusion An automatic EHR-based gout register is feasible, valid and could be used to evaluate and improve gout management. Interestingly, the register uncovered a marked underdiagnosis or under-reporting of gout since the COVID-19 pandemic.