The Economic Value of Biodiversity Preservation

Elettra Agliardi, Rossella Agliardi, Willem Spanjers
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Abstract

We study the decision to preserve diverse species when the value of biodiversity is uncertain, or even affected by ambiguity. Optimal decisions are derived both from the perspective of the producer/investor and the policy regulator (ecosystem planner). We find that while calculated risk creates a scope for biodiversity preservation, the presence of ambiguity aversion reduces it, thus accelerating the extinction of species with lower value. Our results suggest that effective conservation strategies would involve a reduction of ambiguity aversion by creating a stable and transparent policy environment. Furthermore, they may involve a two tier strategy, with one tier addressing output targets and the other conservation targets.

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保护生物多样性的经济价值
我们研究了在生物多样性价值不确定,甚至受模糊性影响的情况下,保护不同物种的决策。我们从生产者/投资者和政策监管者(生态系统规划者)的角度得出了最优决策。我们发现,虽然计算出的风险为保护生物多样性创造了空间,但模糊厌恶情绪的存在却缩小了这一空间,从而加速了价值较低物种的灭绝。我们的研究结果表明,有效的保护战略需要通过创造稳定透明的政策环境来减少模糊厌恶。此外,这些战略可能涉及两层战略,一层涉及产出目标,另一层涉及保护目标。
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