Holistic analysis of factors influencing the adoption of agroforestry to foster forest sector based climate solutions

IF 4 2区 农林科学 Q1 ECONOMICS Forest Policy and Economics Pub Date : 2024-04-30 DOI:10.1016/j.forpol.2024.103233
Dagninet Amare , Dietrich Darr
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Abstract

Improving adoption rate is vital for realizing agroforestry innovations' financial and environmental benefits including fostering climate change adaptation and resilience efforts. Adoption rate of agroforestry innovations improves through feedback-enriched interventions. Yet, the lessons that decades of adoption research generated were only partially incorporated for improving prospective development interventions. Among others, application of reductionist approaches and rarity of holistic perspectives were primary causes for poor understanding of adoption contexts and subsequent incorporation in development programs. This study shows how to undertake holistic adoption empirical analysis by constructing Bayesian Belief Network (BBN). Findings revealed that household contexts consistently, followed by innovation attributes and system level features, influenced likelihood of adopting agroforestry innovations. BBN allowed discovery of the contribution of each variable and layer of variables on optimized adoption rate. Hence results suggested which (groups of) variables to focus when aiming to improve adoption results. Further testing hypothetical policy intervention allowed comprehension of potential outcomes. The approach consolidated the view that comprehensive assessment is essential for inclusive and actual understanding of adoption influencing factors. The stratification of farmers from discretization feature of BBN allowed potential of addressing all groups of farmers (e.g., poor, medium, rich, male decision-making dominated families), evading earlier concerns of development interventions benefitting only better-off farmers. Our findings proved that holistic analysis can better foster agroforestry innovations adoption by allowing targeted interventions and hence consolidated the forest sectors climate solution opportunities for smallholder farmers.

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全面分析影响采用农林业的因素,促进基于林业部门的气候解决方案
提高采用率对于实现农林业创新的经济和环境效益,包括促进适应气候变化和提高抗灾能力至关重要。农林业创新的采用率可通过反馈丰富的干预措施得到提高。然而,数十年来在采用研究方面取得的经验教训仅被部分采纳,以改进未来的发展干预措施。其中,简化方法的应用和整体视角的稀缺是导致对采用背景理解不深以及随后无法将其纳入发展计划的主要原因。本研究展示了如何通过构建贝叶斯信念网络(BBN)进行整体采纳实证分析。研究结果显示,家庭背景始终影响着采用农林业创新的可能性,其次是创新属性和系统层面的特征。通过 BBN 可以发现每个变量和每层变量对优化采用率的贡献。因此,结果表明,在改善采用结果时,应重点关注哪些(组)变量。对假设的政策干预进行进一步测试,可以理解潜在的结果。这种方法巩固了一种观点,即综合评估对于全面、实际地了解采用影响因素至关重要。通过 BBN 的离散化特征对农民进行分层,有可能解决所有农民群体(如贫困、中等、富裕、男性决策主导家庭)的问题,从而避免了之前关于发展干预措施仅惠及富裕农民的担忧。我们的研究结果证明,通过有针对性的干预,整体分析可以更好地促进农林业创新的采用,从而巩固森林部门为小农户提供气候解决方案的机会。
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来源期刊
Forest Policy and Economics
Forest Policy and Economics 农林科学-林学
CiteScore
9.00
自引率
7.50%
发文量
148
审稿时长
21.9 weeks
期刊介绍: Forest Policy and Economics is a leading scientific journal that publishes peer-reviewed policy and economics research relating to forests, forested landscapes, forest-related industries, and other forest-relevant land uses. It also welcomes contributions from other social sciences and humanities perspectives that make clear theoretical, conceptual and methodological contributions to the existing state-of-the-art literature on forests and related land use systems. These disciplines include, but are not limited to, sociology, anthropology, human geography, history, jurisprudence, planning, development studies, and psychology research on forests. Forest Policy and Economics is global in scope and publishes multiple article types of high scientific standard. Acceptance for publication is subject to a double-blind peer-review process.
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