Association between ambient temperature and risk of notifiable infectious diseases in China from 2011 to 2019.

IF 2.2 4区医学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES International Journal of Environmental Health Research Pub Date : 2025-02-01 Epub Date: 2024-05-07 DOI:10.1080/09603123.2024.2350609

Wenqing Wang, Kaixuan Yang, Jiayi Li, Haiyan Jiang, Simei Zhang, Yaoyao Lin, Xinhan Zhang, Mingjuan Jin, Jianbing Wang, Mengling Tang, Kun Chen

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Abstract

Previous studies on temperature and infectious diseases primarily focused on individual disease types, yielding inconsistent conclusions. This study collected monthly data on notifiable infectious disease cases and meteorological variables across 7 provinces in China from 2011 to 2019. A distributed lag nonlinear model was used to evaluate the association between ambient temperature and infectious diseases within each province, and random meta-analysis was applied to evaluate the pooled effect. Extreme hot temperature (the 97.5th percentile) was positively associated with the risk of respiratory infectious diseases with the relative risk (RR) of 1.45 (95%CI: 1.01-2.08). Conversely, extreme cold temperature (the 2.5th percentile) was negatively associated with intestinal infectious diseases and zoonotic diseases and vector-borne diseases, reporting RRs of 0.43 (95%CI: 0.30-0.60) and 0.46 (95%CI: 0.38-0.57), respectively. This study described the nonlinear association between ambient temperature and infectious diseases with different transmission routes, informing comprehensive prevention and control strategies for temperature-related infectious diseases.

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2011 至 2019 年中国环境温度与应报告传染病风险之间的关系。

以往关于气温与传染病的研究主要集中在个别疾病类型上，得出的结论并不一致。本研究收集了 2011 年至 2019 年中国 7 个省的月度应报传染病病例和气象变量数据。采用分布式滞后非线性模型评估了各省环境温度与传染病之间的关联，并采用随机荟萃分析评估了集合效应。极端高温（97.5百分位数）与呼吸道传染病的发病风险呈正相关，相对风险（RR）为1.45（95%CI：1.01-2.08）。相反，极端低温（2.5 百分位数）与肠道传染病、人畜共患病和病媒传染病呈负相关，RR 分别为 0.43（95%CI：0.30-0.60）和 0.46（95%CI：0.38-0.57）。这项研究描述了环境温度与不同传播途径的传染病之间的非线性关系，为温度相关传染病的综合防控策略提供了参考。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

International Journal of Environmental Health Research 医学-公共卫生、环境卫生与职业卫生

CiteScore

6.70

自引率

3.10%

发文量

134

审稿时长

>12 weeks

期刊介绍： International Journal of Environmental Health Research ( IJEHR ) is devoted to the rapid publication of research in environmental health, acting as a link between the diverse research communities and practitioners in environmental health. Published articles encompass original research papers, technical notes and review articles. IJEHR publishes articles on all aspects of the interaction between the environment and human health. This interaction can broadly be divided into three areas: the natural environment and health – health implications and monitoring of air, water and soil pollutants and pollution and health improvements and air, water and soil quality standards; the built environment and health – occupational health and safety, exposure limits, monitoring and control of pollutants in the workplace, and standards of health; and communicable diseases – disease spread, control and prevention, food hygiene and control, and health aspects of rodents and insects. IJEHR is published in association with the International Federation of Environmental Health and includes news from the Federation of international meetings, courses and environmental health issues.