A review of influencing factors for policy interventions in the deployment of bioenergy with carbon capture and storage

Xiaofan Xing , Yuankang Xiong , Rong Wang , Yuan Gao , Siqing Xu , Philippe Ciais , Thomas Gasser , Josep Penuelas , Jordi Sardans , Jianmin Chen , Tang Xu , Renhe Zhang
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Abstract

Bioenergy with Carbon Capture and Storage (BECCS) is a key negative emission technology considered by many integrated assessment models (IAMs) to achieve the 2℃ or 1.5℃ goals in the Paris Agreement. However, the technical feasibility and economic costs of BECCS in these IAMs have been widely debated, which increases the uncertainty in the projection of climate change in the 21st century. Therefore, this paper reviews the latest understanding of BECCS. The key findings reveal the limitations of current models in projecting the capacity and costs of bioenergy with carbon capture and storage (BECCS), mainly due to insufficient consideration of ecological consequences, including availabilities of biomass and difficulties in the transportation of biomass and CO2. To reduce uncertainties in the capacity and costs of BECCS, it is urgently needed to apply spatially explicit method for estimating the life-cycle emissions and the complete cost items when deploying BECCS, optimize the network of biomass acquisition, power plants retrofitting and transportation of biomass and CO2, and represent the changes in the availability of biomass (for different types of bioenergy plants) under the impacts of climate change. This paper emphasizes the gap between the potential capacity of BECCS and the demand for BECCS that is needed to achieve the climate goals. Suggestion on policy interventions is provided to accelerate the application of BECCS from the aspects of economic tools, regulatory tools, and information tools. Deployment of BECCS could be accelerated to halt the rapid rise of global annual average temperature and reduce the risk of carbon lock-in from fossil-fuel supply infrastructure. As BECCS could play a key role in achieving ambitious climate targets, it is important to maintain a balance between environmental, social, and economic considerations in the Earth system under a high sustainability of development.

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利用碳捕集与封存技术部署生物能源的政策干预影响因素审查
碳捕集与封存生物能源(BECCS)是许多综合评估模型(IAMs)考虑的一项关键负排放技术,旨在实现《巴黎协定》中的2℃或1.5℃目标。然而,在这些综合评估模型中,BECCS的技术可行性和经济成本一直存在广泛争议,这增加了21世纪气候变化预测的不确定性。因此,本文回顾了对 BECCS 的最新理解。主要发现揭示了当前模型在预测生物能源与碳捕集与封存(BECCS)的能力和成本方面的局限性,这主要是由于没有充分考虑生态后果,包括生物质的可利用性以及生物质和二氧化碳运输的困难。为减少 BECCS 容量和成本的不确定性,亟需采用空间显式方法估算部署 BECCS 时的生命周期排放量和全部成本项目,优化生物质获取、电厂改造以及生物质和二氧化碳运输网络,并表示气候变化影响下生物质可用性的变化(对于不同类型的生物能源电厂)。本文强调了 BECCS 潜在能力与实现气候目标所需的 BECCS 需求之间的差距。本文从经济工具、监管工具和信息工具等方面提出了政策干预建议,以加快 BECCS 的应用。可以加快 BECCS 的部署,以阻止全球年平均气温的快速上升,并降低化石燃料供应基础设施的碳锁定风险。由于 BECCS 可在实现雄心勃勃的气候目标方面发挥关键作用,因此在高度可持续发展的情况下,保持地球系统中环境、社会和经济因素之间的平衡非常重要。
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