Did crisis alter trading of two major oil futures markets?

IF 0.7 4区 经济学 Q4 BUSINESS, FINANCE Review of Derivatives Research Pub Date : 2017-04-19 DOI:10.1007/s11147-017-9133-7
Iman Adeinat, Naseem Al Rahahleh, Peihwang Wei
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Abstract

The paper analyzes how traders in two major oil futures markets: New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) and Intercontinental Exchange, reacted to the 2008 financial crisis, particularly whether they shifted their trading pattern and whether the relative information role of the two markets changed. Using trade-by-trade data, the paper analyzes several trading characteristics including trading volume, trade size, volatility, bid–ask spread, and relative information share. On average, NYMEX is characterized by greater volume, trade size and slightly greater spread. Before the crisis, NYMEX leads the process of price discovery, and volatility and trade size are significant factors explaining this leadership. However, following the financial crisis of 2008, the leadership role of NYMEX declines and trade size and volatility are no longer significant factors. Contrary to results of most equity market research, bid–ask spread is not a significant factor in information share and causality tests indicate that causality runs from spread to information share before the crisis but the opposite holds during the crisis period.
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危机是否改变了两大石油期货市场的交易?
本文分析了两大石油期货市场的交易者是如何应对 2008 年金融危机的:纽约商品交易所(NYMEX)和洲际交易所(Intercontinental Exchange)的交易商如何应对 2008 年的金融危机,特别是他们是否转变了交易模式,以及两个市场的相对信息作用是否发生了变化。本文利用逐笔交易数据分析了交易量、交易规模、波动率、买卖价差和相对信息份额等交易特征。平均而言,NYMEX 的交易量更大,交易规模更大,价差略大。危机前,NYMEX 在价格发现过程中处于领先地位,波动率和交易规模是解释这种领先地位的重要因素。然而,2008 年金融危机之后,纽约商品交易所的领导作用下降,交易规模和波动性不再是重要因素。与大多数股票市场研究结果相反,买入-卖出价差不是影响信息份额的重要因素,因果关系检验表明,危机前价差与信息份额之间存在因果关系,但危机期间则相反。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.40
自引率
0.00%
发文量
8
期刊介绍: The proliferation of derivative assets during the past two decades is unprecedented. With this growth in derivatives comes the need for financial institutions, institutional investors, and corporations to use sophisticated quantitative techniques to take full advantage of the spectrum of these new financial instruments. Academic research has significantly contributed to our understanding of derivative assets and markets. The growth of derivative asset markets has been accompanied by a commensurate growth in the volume of scientific research. The Review of Derivatives Research provides an international forum for researchers involved in the general areas of derivative assets. The Review publishes high-quality articles dealing with the pricing and hedging of derivative assets on any underlying asset (commodity, interest rate, currency, equity, real estate, traded or non-traded, etc.). Specific topics include but are not limited to: econometric analyses of derivative markets (efficiency, anomalies, performance, etc.) analysis of swap markets market microstructure and volatility issues regulatory and taxation issues credit risk new areas of applications such as corporate finance (capital budgeting, debt innovations), international trade (tariffs and quotas), banking and insurance (embedded options, asset-liability management) risk-sharing issues and the design of optimal derivative securities risk management, management and control valuation and analysis of the options embedded in capital projects valuation and hedging of exotic options new areas for further development (i.e. natural resources, environmental economics. The Review has a double-blind refereeing process. In contrast to the delays in the decision making and publication processes of many current journals, the Review will provide authors with an initial decision within nine weeks of receipt of the manuscript and a goal of publication within six months after acceptance. Finally, a section of the journal is available for rapid publication on `hot'' issues in the market, small technical pieces, and timely essays related to pending legislation and policy. Officially cited as: Rev Deriv Res
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