Risk compensation after COVID-19 vaccination: Evidence from vaccine rollout by exact birth date in South Korea

IF 2 3区 医学 Q2 ECONOMICS Health economics Pub Date : 2024-05-10 DOI:10.1002/hec.4837
Jisoo Hwang, Seung-sik Hwang, Hyuncheol Bryant Kim, Jungmin Lee, Junseok Lee
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Abstract

We utilize the phased rollout of COVID-19 vaccines by exact birth date in South Korea as a natural experiment for testing risk compensation. People may resume face-to-face social activities following vaccination because they perceive lower risk of infection. Applying a regression discontinuity design based on birth date cutoffs for vaccine eligibility, we find no evidence of risk-compensating behaviors, as measured by large, high-frequency data from credit card and airline companies as well as survey data. We find some evidence of self-selection into vaccine take-up based on perception toward vaccine effectiveness and side effects, but the treatment effects do not differ between compliers and never-takers.

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接种 COVID-19 疫苗后的风险补偿:韩国按确切出生日期推广疫苗的证据。
我们利用韩国按确切出生日期分阶段推广 COVID-19 疫苗的做法作为测试风险补偿的自然实验。人们在接种疫苗后可能会恢复面对面的社交活动,因为他们认为感染风险较低。根据疫苗接种资格的出生日期分界点进行回归不连续设计,我们发现,通过信用卡和航空公司的大量高频数据以及调查数据衡量,没有证据表明存在风险补偿行为。我们发现了一些证据,表明人们会根据对疫苗有效性和副作用的看法,对接种疫苗进行自我选择,但治疗效果在接种者和从未接种者之间并无差别。
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来源期刊
Health economics
Health economics 医学-卫生保健
CiteScore
3.60
自引率
4.80%
发文量
177
审稿时长
4-8 weeks
期刊介绍: This Journal publishes articles on all aspects of health economics: theoretical contributions, empirical studies and analyses of health policy from the economic perspective. Its scope includes the determinants of health and its definition and valuation, as well as the demand for and supply of health care; planning and market mechanisms; micro-economic evaluation of individual procedures and treatments; and evaluation of the performance of health care systems. Contributions should typically be original and innovative. As a rule, the Journal does not include routine applications of cost-effectiveness analysis, discrete choice experiments and costing analyses. Editorials are regular features, these should be concise and topical. Occasionally commissioned reviews are published and special issues bring together contributions on a single topic. Health Economics Letters facilitate rapid exchange of views on topical issues. Contributions related to problems in both developed and developing countries are welcome.
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