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Disability Insurance as a Complement to Labor Income: Evidence From Italian Administrative Data. 残障保险作为劳动收入的补充:来自意大利行政数据的证据。
IF 2.4 3区 医学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-13 DOI: 10.1002/hec.70072
Zantomio Francesca, Belloni Michele, Carrieri Vincenzo, Farina Elena, Simonetti Irene

We investigate how disability insurance (DI) generosity affects DI take-up and labor market participation in a setting where benefits can be cumulated with substantial labor earnings. Using rich administrative data on Italian private-sector workers and a Regression Discontinuity in Time design, we find a large behavioral response to DI generosity, with an elasticity of 1.26 in DI take-up, while employment effects are minor and concentrated among immigrants. Our identification strategy exploits a major social security reform that reduced the expected DI replacement rate and generated a clear income effect. To address unobserved heterogeneity and the unobservability of underlying disability, we focus on individuals affected by acute cardiovascular shocks whose DI eligibility is plausibly exogenous. Overall, our results suggest that when earnings cumulability is extensive, DI is widely perceived as a complement to labor income. This has important implications for the design of labor-inclusive DI schemes.

我们研究了残障保险(DI)慷慨如何影响残障保险(DI)的使用和劳动力市场的参与,在这样的环境中,福利可以通过大量的劳动收入来积累。利用意大利私营部门工人的丰富行政数据和时间设计中的回归不连续,我们发现对DI慷慨的行为反应很大,DI接受的弹性为1.26,而就业影响较小,集中在移民中。我们的识别策略利用了一项重大的社会保障改革,该改革降低了预期的残障保险替代率,并产生了明显的收入效应。为了解决未观察到的异质性和潜在残疾的不可观察性,我们将重点放在急性心血管休克影响的个体上,这些个体的DI资格似乎是外源性的。总的来说,我们的结果表明,当收入累积性广泛时,残障投资被广泛认为是对劳动收入的补充。这对劳动力包容性残障保险计划的设计具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 0
Physician Agency and the Zero-Markup Drug Policy in China: Evidence From a Structural Model. 医师代理与中国药品零加价政策:来自结构模型的证据。
IF 2.4 3区 医学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-13 DOI: 10.1002/hec.70073
Qifan Huang, Zhentong Lu, Castiel Chen Zhuang

This paper quantifies physician agency in China's prescription drug market by exploiting the structural shift created by the Zero-Markup Drug Policy. We find that physicians' prescribing decisions are about three times more sensitive to the hospital's profit margin than to the retail price faced by patients. The study provides several key findings. First, government policy exerts a strong influence on drug prices. Second, branded drugs are generally preferred over generics and display lower price elasticity. Third, the policy accounts for more than half of the observed decline in average wholesale prices. Finally, while the policy improves patient welfare, it reduces pharmaceutical firms' sales and profits, and a partial restoration of drug markups could increase overall social welfare.

本文利用药品零价差政策带来的结构性转变,量化了中国处方药市场的医师代理。我们发现,医生的处方决策对医院利润率的敏感性大约是对患者面临的零售价格的敏感性的三倍。这项研究提供了几个关键发现。首先,政府政策对药品价格有很大影响。其次,品牌药通常比仿制药更受欢迎,价格弹性更低。第三,在观察到的平均批发价格下降中,该政策占了一半以上。最后,该政策在提高患者福利的同时,减少了制药公司的销售和利润,部分恢复药品加成可以增加整体社会福利。
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引用次数: 0
Do Fossil Fuel Subsidies Crowd Out Health Expenditure? A Country-Level Longitudinal Analysis. 化石燃料补贴会挤占医疗支出吗?国家层面的纵向分析。
IF 2.4 3区 医学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-20 DOI: 10.1002/hec.70074
Judite Gonçalves, Eduardo Costa, Thomas Hone, Damini Singh, Paula Pereda, Anthony A Laverty, Christopher Millett

Annually, countries allocate hundreds of millions of dollars to subsidize fossil fuels, often at the expense of public health and environmental sustainability. This undermines progress toward Sustainable Development Goals (SDG) 3 (Good Health and Well-Being) and 13 (Climate Action). Despite this, the impact of fossil fuel subsidies (FFS) on social protection expenditure, including health, remains poorly quantified. This study aimed to determine whether FFS crowd out health expenditure globally, using panel data from 126 countries covering the period 2015-2019. An instrumental variable approach, relying on countries' exposure to international energy trade and fluctuations in crude oil price, was employed to capture exogenous variation in FFS and estimate a causal relationship. The analyses revealed that in 2019, 17 countries spent more than five percent of GDP on FFS, with FFS expenditure exceeding health expenditure in 15 of those countries. Specifically, a 1% increase in FFS per capita, driven by rising international oil prices and weighted by countries' exposure to international energy trade, led to a 0.05% (95% CI -0.08% to -0.02%) decrease in domestic health expenditure per capita. These findings underscore the detrimental impact of FFS on health expenditure, presenting another reason to eliminate FFS to achieve SDG3 in addition to avoiding further dangerous climate heating.

每年,各国拨出数亿美元补贴化石燃料,往往以牺牲公共卫生和环境可持续性为代价。这破坏了实现可持续发展目标3(良好健康和福祉)和13(气候行动)的进展。尽管如此,化石燃料补贴对包括保健在内的社会保护支出的影响仍然难以量化。本研究利用2015-2019年126个国家的面板数据,旨在确定FFS是否挤占了全球卫生支出。采用工具变量方法,根据各国对国际能源贸易的敞口和原油价格的波动,捕捉FFS的外生变化并估计因果关系。分析显示,2019年,17个国家将国内生产总值的5%以上用于田间FFS,其中15个国家的田间FFS支出超过卫生支出。具体而言,在国际油价上涨的推动下,并考虑到各国对国际能源贸易的影响,人均FFS增加1%,导致人均国内卫生支出减少0.05%(95%置信区间-0.08%至-0.02%)。这些调查结果强调了田间FFS对卫生支出的不利影响,除了避免进一步危险的气候变暖之外,还提出了消除田间FFS以实现可持续发展目标g3的另一个理由。
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引用次数: 0
Minimum Wages, the Earned Income Tax Credit, and Mental Health Around Pregnancy. 最低工资、劳动所得税抵免和怀孕期间的心理健康。
IF 2.4 3区 医学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-10 DOI: 10.1002/hec.70071
Bryce J Stanley, Karen Smith Conway

This study estimates the effects on perinatal mental health of the state's minimum wage and earned income tax credit (EITC), controlling for other policies and state-level factors. Using data from the Pregnancy Risk Assessment Monitoring System for 2012-2018 births we find robust evidence that minimum wages and EITC levels reduce depression before pregnancy and suggestive evidence of minimum wages reducing postpartum depression, at least for married respondents. Our estimates suggest that a one dollar increase in the minimum wage ($100 increase in the state EITC) reduces pre-pregnancy depression by roughly 8.5% (1.5%). These findings stand up to standard robustness and falsification tests, including event study analyses, a wide array of alternative specifications, and finding no effect for those unlikely to benefit (e.g., college-educated respondents). A supplementary analysis using data from the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System suggests that state EITC levels may reduce mental distress during pregnancy. We investigate possible mechanisms by providing a descriptive analysis of the income and work behavior of such households, which shows the wide reach of these policies, and investigating a broad set of outcomes from the PRAMS, such as financial stressors, health insurance and birth outcomes.

本研究估计了国家最低工资和劳动所得税抵免(EITC)对围产期心理健康的影响,控制了其他政策和国家层面的因素。利用2012-2018年出生的怀孕风险评估监测系统的数据,我们发现了强有力的证据,表明最低工资和EITC水平可以减少孕前抑郁,并且至少对已婚受访者来说,最低工资可以减少产后抑郁。我们的估计表明,最低工资每增加1美元(国家EITC增加100美元),孕前抑郁症就会减少大约8.5%(1.5%)。这些发现经得起标准的稳健性和证伪性检验,包括事件研究分析、广泛的替代规范,以及对那些不太可能受益的人(例如,受过大学教育的受访者)没有发现任何影响。一项使用行为风险因素监测系统数据的补充分析表明,国家EITC水平可能会减少怀孕期间的精神困扰。我们通过对这些家庭的收入和工作行为进行描述性分析来调查可能的机制,这显示了这些政策的广泛影响,并调查了PRAMS的广泛结果,如财务压力源、健康保险和出生结果。
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引用次数: 0
Do Prices Matter for Healthcare Accessibility? Evidence From a Means-Tested Complementary Health Insurance in France. 价格对医疗可及性有影响吗?来自法国经济状况调查的补充健康保险的证据。
IF 2.4 3区 医学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-12 DOI: 10.1002/hec.70070
Benoît Carré, Florence Jusot, Jérôme Wittwer

In France, the Couverture Maladie Universelle Complémentaire (CMU-C) scheme is a means-tested, state-financed, complementary health insurance program that fully covers healthcare. Using administrative claims data and a staggered difference-in-differences approach, we estimate the impact of enrollment in the program on healthcare utilization. To address selection into the program, we use health shocks at the family level to exogenize individual enrollment. The findings indicate that access to free healthcare significantly increases healthcare utilization at both intensive and extensive margins. This effect is driven primarily by individuals who are uninsured before enrolling in the CMU-C. Moreover, individuals with severe or chronic illnesses, who already receive additional public coverage for their conditions, experience significant gains from the CMU-C coverage. Finally, these effects persist throughout the coverage period.

在法国,全民健康保险(CMU-C)计划是一项经济状况调查、国家资助的补充健康保险计划,全面覆盖医疗保健。使用行政索赔数据和交错差异方法,我们估计了该计划的注册对医疗保健利用率的影响。为了解决方案的选择问题,我们使用家庭层面的健康冲击来外生个体登记。研究结果表明,获得免费医疗保健可显著提高医疗保健利用的集约化和广泛化边际。这种影响主要是由在注册CMU-C之前没有保险的个人驱动的。此外,患有严重或慢性疾病的个人,他们已经获得了额外的公共保险,从CMU-C覆盖中获得了重大收益。最后,这些影响在整个覆盖期内持续存在。
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引用次数: 0
Further Findings on the Intergenerational Transmission of Alcohol Consumption. 酒精消费代际传递的进一步发现。
IF 2.4 3区 医学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2026-03-22 DOI: 10.1002/hec.70084
Sergey Alexeev

Using 43,817 parent-child pairs from 23 waves of the HILDA Survey, I study the intergenerational transmission of alcohol use within a rational model of trait transmission. Transmission is predominantly same-sex: the mother-daughter elasticity is 0.10 and the father-son elasticity is 0.09; there is no father-daughter effect. Influence peaks at ages 15-17 and re-emerges at 28-37 when offspring become parents; mothers also affect sons at both junctures. Comparisons with non-birth (adoptee-style) dyads show similar mother-daughter transmission, indicating norm-based rather than biological channels. Identification concerns are addressed with placebo reshuffling and copula-based corrections; estimates are robust across specifications. Men who remain childless are more likely to mirror maternal drinking, which-together with declining fertility and earlier alcohol-control policies-helps explain cohort declines in male drinking. The interpretation is that parental norms anchor behavior at identity-forming and role-transition ages, with strong persistence thereafter. Policy should target these windows with gender-specific, couple-level interventions alongside population levers on price, availability and marketing.

利用HILDA调查的23波43,817对亲子对,我在一个合理的性状传递模型中研究了酒精使用的代际传递。传播以同性为主:母女弹性为0.10,父子弹性为0.09;没有父女效应。影响在15-17岁时达到顶峰,并在28-37岁子女为人父母时再次出现;在这两个关键时刻,母亲也会影响儿子。与非出生(被收养型)的二人组的比较显示出类似的母女传播,表明基于规范而非生物渠道。通过安慰剂重组和基于copula的纠正来解决识别问题;评估在各个规范中都是可靠的。没有孩子的男性更有可能像母亲一样喝酒,再加上生育率下降和早期的酒精控制政策,这有助于解释男性饮酒量的下降。其解释是,父母规范在身份形成和角色转换年龄锚定行为,此后具有很强的持久性。政策应针对这些窗口,采取针对性别、夫妻层面的干预措施,同时在价格、可获得性和营销方面采取人口杠杆。
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引用次数: 0
Health Preferences and Sorting in the City. 城市中的健康偏好和分类。
IF 2.4 3区 医学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2026-03-19 DOI: 10.1002/hec.70098
Manuela Puente-Beccar

There are large health inequalities between neighborhoods in many cities of the world. This paper studies individuals' sorting based on health amenities and exposes an important connection between health preferences and the housing market. I estimate a neighborhood choice model using geolocated data from a health survey in New York City and neighborhood characteristics from different data sources. I find that individuals with higher preferences for being healthy are more likely to choose neighborhoods close to health amenities such as parks, and this sorting explains a large part of observed geographical inequalities in health behaviors. Moreover, the model predicts that a higher demand for health amenities capitalizes into house prices and displaces poor individuals to neighborhoods further from these amenities. This implies that health awareness campaigns might actually worsen the inequality in access to public health amenities.

世界上许多城市的社区之间存在着巨大的健康不平等。本文研究了基于健康设施的个人分类,揭示了健康偏好与住房市场之间的重要联系。我使用来自纽约市健康调查的地理定位数据和来自不同数据源的社区特征来估计社区选择模型。我发现,对健康有更高偏好的人更有可能选择靠近公园等健康设施的社区,这种分类解释了在健康行为中观察到的地域不平等的很大一部分。此外,该模型预测,对医疗设施的更高需求将转化为房价,并使穷人迁移到离这些设施更远的社区。这意味着,提高卫生意识的运动实际上可能会加剧获得公共卫生设施方面的不平等。
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引用次数: 0
Promoting Safe Opioid Disposal: Experimental Evidence on Behavioral Messaging With Financial Incentives. 促进阿片类药物的安全处置:金融激励下行为信息传递的实验证据。
IF 2.4 3区 医学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2026-03-16 DOI: 10.1002/hec.70085
Mattie Toma, Russell Burnett, Pompa Debroy, Eugen Dimant, Jean Liu, Elana Safran, Uzaib Saya, Bill Schultz

Some patients prescribed opioid pills fail to properly dispose of their unused pills, posing a risk for others. We report results from a pre-registered field experiment testing whether behaviorally informed reminder cards increase participation in a financial incentive program for returning unused opioid pills among U.S. Veterans. The cards incorporate principles from behavioral economics, including timely reminders, implementation intention prompts, and loss framing. Relative to a cash incentive alone, the reminder cards increase both the likelihood that patients return unused pills (the extensive margin) and the number of pills returned (the intensive margin). The intervention also improves cost-effectiveness, reducing both the cost per pill returned and the cost per participant who returns pills. These findings show that low-cost behavioral messaging can meaningfully enhance the effectiveness of existing financial incentive programs for safe opioid disposal.

一些服用阿片类药物的患者没有妥善处理他们未使用的药片,给其他人带来了风险。我们报告了一项预先注册的现场实验的结果,该实验测试了行为通知提醒卡是否增加了美国退伍军人归还未使用阿片类药物的财务激励计划的参与。这些卡片结合了行为经济学的原则,包括及时提醒、执行意图提示和损失框架。相对于单独的现金激励,提醒卡增加了患者退回未使用的药片的可能性(广泛边际)和退回的药片数量(密集边际)。干预措施还提高了成本效益,降低了每个退回药片的成本和每个退回药片的参与者的成本。这些发现表明,低成本的行为信息传递可以有效地提高现有的阿片类药物安全处置财政激励计划的有效性。
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引用次数: 0
Strategic Delay and Bargaining Over Public Insurance Coverage for Drugs in Australia. 澳大利亚药品公共保险覆盖的战略延迟与讨价还价。
IF 2.4 3区 医学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2026-03-12 DOI: 10.1002/hec.70095
Jing Jing Li, Anthony Harris

Public funding for pharmaceuticals often follows repeated negotiation between manufacturers and a public agency, yet little empirical work examines how the timing of agreement reflects the economic structure of these interactions. Using a duration model of negotiations in Australia from 2005 to 2018, we assess whether observed patterns of delay and agreement align with dynamic bargaining theory under incomplete information. Agreements from 634 submissions for 400 therapies required a median of 16 months, and 71% of negotiation rounds ended without agreement. Therapies with lower expected value to the agency-reflected in higher incremental cost per QALY, greater budget impact, or evidence uncertainty-experienced longer delays and lower agreement rates, while those with strong clinical importance, perceived need, or elevated public interest were listed more quickly. Delays also varied across therapeutic classes and with a therapy's position in the sequencing of available treatments. The observed patterns point to a systematic listing rule in which therapies are funded when expected health gains justify their opportunity costs. They also support the view that the timing of agreement reflects strategic negotiation under uncertainty, not simply procedural delay.

药品的公共资金通常是在制造商和公共机构之间反复谈判之后,然而很少有实证工作研究协议的时间如何反映这些相互作用的经济结构。利用2005年至2018年澳大利亚谈判的持续时间模型,我们评估了观察到的延迟和协议模式是否符合不完全信息下的动态议价理论。400种疗法的634份提交的协议中位数需要16个月,71%的谈判回合没有达成协议。对机构的预期价值较低的疗法——反映在每质量aly较高的增量成本、更大的预算影响或证据不确定性上——经历了更长的延迟和更低的同意率,而那些具有强烈临床重要性、感知需求或提高公众利益的疗法则更快地被列出。延迟也因治疗类别和治疗在现有治疗顺序中的位置而异。观察到的模式表明,有一种系统的清单规则,当预期的健康收益证明其机会成本合理时,才为治疗提供资金。他们还支持这样一种观点,即协议的时机反映了不确定情况下的战略谈判,而不仅仅是程序上的拖延。
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引用次数: 0
Gambling and Substance Use: Early Evidence From Sports Betting Laws. 赌博和物质使用:来自体育博彩法的早期证据。
IF 2.4 3区 医学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2026-03-11 DOI: 10.1002/hec.70088
Kabir Dasgupta, Keshar Ghimire

Previous research documents a strong association between gambling and substance use, suggesting that these seemingly distinct behaviors may share similar environmental, neurobiological, and genetic causes. However, there is a dearth of credible empirical evidence on whether gambling has a causal impact on substance use or vice versa. This paper estimates the impact of gambling on substance use making use of the rapid roll-out of sports betting laws across US states. Using data from the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System and a difference-in-difference (DID) estimation strategy to assess the impact of legalizing sports betting on smoking and drinking behavior among adults, we find that the legalization of online sports betting has increased binge drinking frequency-at the intensive margin among young men by approximately 10 percent, but find no discernible impact on smoking. The results are consistent across traditional two-way fixed effects models as well as more recently developed DID methods designed for staggered treatment adoption.

先前的研究记录了赌博和物质使用之间的强烈联系,表明这些看似不同的行为可能具有相似的环境,神经生物学和遗传原因。然而,关于赌博是否对药物使用有因果影响或反之亦然,缺乏可靠的经验证据。本文估计了赌博对物质使用的影响,利用美国各州快速推出的体育博彩法。利用行为风险因素监测系统的数据和差异中差(DID)估计策略来评估体育博彩合法化对成年人吸烟和饮酒行为的影响,我们发现在线体育博彩合法化增加了酗酒的频率——在年轻人的密集边际上增加了大约10%,但对吸烟没有明显的影响。传统的双向固定效应模型以及最近开发的用于交错治疗采用的DID方法的结果是一致的。
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引用次数: 0
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Health economics
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