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The Effect of Voluntary Staying at Home on Japanese Female Suicide During the COVID-19 Pandemic. COVID-19大流行期间自愿居家对日本女性自杀的影响
IF 2.4 3区 医学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2026-01-11 DOI: 10.1002/hec.70078
Yoko Ibuka, Haruo Kakehi, Ryuki Kobayashi, Ryo Nakajima

In Japan, female suicide increased during the COVID-19 pandemic. This study evaluated how pandemic-related home confinement affected female suicide. We employed a shift-share instrumental variable design to assess whether differential exposure to the pandemic caused changes in suicide incidence. We found that suicide increased among females under 20 years of age as more people stayed at home. Counterfactual analyses showed that at least 35% of these suicides were attributed to home confinement. Our results suggest that a substantial part of the suicide increase among young females was driven by lifestyle changes during the pandemic.

在日本,女性自杀率在COVID-19大流行期间有所上升。这项研究评估了与大流行相关的居家隔离如何影响女性自杀。我们采用偏移-份额工具变量设计来评估不同的大流行暴露是否会导致自杀发生率的变化。我们发现,随着越来越多的人呆在家里,20岁以下的女性自杀率上升。反事实分析表明,这些自杀中至少有35%归因于在家监禁。我们的研究结果表明,年轻女性自杀增加的很大一部分是由疫情期间生活方式的改变造成的。
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引用次数: 0
Return on Returns: Building Scientific Capacity in AIDS Endemic Countries. 回报回报:在艾滋病流行国家建设科学能力。
IF 2.4 3区 医学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2026-01-11 DOI: 10.1002/hec.70079
Caroline Fry, Ina Ganguli

We examine public funding for health research through the United States National Institutes of Health Fogarty International Center's AIDS International Training and Research Program, which sought to strengthen scientific capacity in AIDS-endemic countries by providing African researchers with training opportunities in the U.S. We use a difference-in-differences framework with information on scientists who participated in the program and the research activities of African scientists working at their home institutions in adjacent topics of neglected tropical diseases. Relative to comparable scientists, those at institutions with returning trainees subsequently publish more on HIV-related topics, receive more grant funding, engage in more clinical trials, and their work contributes to a greater number of policy documents. These patterns suggest that following the Fogarty program, research, innovation, and health policy related to the AIDS epidemic in African countries became more active.

我们通过美国国立卫生研究院福格蒂国际中心的艾滋病国际培训和研究项目检查卫生研究的公共资金,该项目旨在通过向非洲研究人员提供在美国接受培训的机会来加强艾滋病流行国家的科学能力。我们使用了一个差异中差异的框架,其中包含参与该项目的科学家的信息,以及在本国机构工作的非洲科学家在被忽视的热带病相关主题上的研究活动。与同类科学家相比,那些在有回国学员的机构工作的科学家随后发表了更多关于艾滋病相关主题的文章,获得了更多的资助,参与了更多的临床试验,他们的工作为更多的政策文件做出了贡献。这些模式表明,在福格蒂方案之后,非洲国家与艾滋病流行有关的研究、创新和卫生政策变得更加活跃。
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引用次数: 0
Asymmetric Information With Multiple Risks: The Case of the Chilean Private Health Insurance Market. 多重风险下的信息不对称:以智利私人医疗保险市场为例
IF 2.4 3区 医学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2026-01-06 DOI: 10.1002/hec.70075
Dolores de la Mata, Matilde P Machado, Pau Olivella, Nieves Valdés

We extend the Rothshild and Stiglitz (1976) model to two sources of risk -inpatient and outpatient risk- to better proxy real-world health insurance markets. We uncover an interesting theoretical possibility: Take individuals A and B, who are low risks in, say, the inpatient dimension but A is riskier in the outpatient dimension. Then, A may enjoy less coverage than B in the inpatient dimension (coverage reversal). This phenomenon indicates that when testing for adverse selection in a given dimension, one has to treat individuals who differ in the other dimension separately. With this insight in mind, we adapt the Chiappori and Salanié (2000) positive correlation test to this multi-dimensionality and use it to test for adverse selection using individual-level claims data for the privately insured in Chile. This empirical analysis indicates that overlooking the aforementioned need of separating samples can potentially lead to biased conclusions.

我们将罗斯柴尔德和斯蒂格利茨(1976)模型扩展到两个风险来源-住院和门诊风险-以更好地代理现实世界的健康保险市场。我们发现了一个有趣的理论可能性:以个体A和个体B为例,他们在住院方面风险较低,但A在门诊方面风险较高。那么,A在住院维度上的覆盖率可能低于B(覆盖率反转)。这一现象表明,当测试一个特定维度的逆向选择时,必须分别对待在另一个维度上存在差异的个体。考虑到这一点,我们将Chiappori和salani(2000)的正相关检验适用于这个多维度,并使用它来测试智利私人保险的个人层面索赔数据的逆向选择。这一实证分析表明,忽视上述分离样品的需要可能会导致有偏见的结论。
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引用次数: 0
Exploring Population Heterogeneities in Health Dynamics. 探索健康动力学中的种群异质性。
IF 2.4 3区 医学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2026-01-01 DOI: 10.1002/hec.70076
Flaviana Palmisano

How does individuals' health status evolve over time? Is this evolution characterized by any socio-economic gradient? To answer these questions, this paper proposes a new intuitive and normatively grounded criterion to assess and compare health dynamics over time accounting for population heterogeneities. Implementing this criterion to European data, this paper provides the first pan-European evidence on health dynamics and related heterogeneities from 2005 to 2019. It shows that socio-economic gradients have played an important role in shaping the health dynamics experienced by the European population. These dynamics appear progressive with respect to the pure economic status of individuals determined by their level of income. This feature is reverted when the economic conditions of individuals are widened to include non-pure monetary aspects such as professional condition and parental background.

个人的健康状况是如何随时间演变的?这种演变是否具有任何社会经济梯度的特征?为了回答这些问题,本文提出了一种新的直观和规范的标准,用于评估和比较考虑人口异质性的健康动态随时间的变化。本文将这一标准应用于欧洲数据,提供了2005年至2019年健康动态和相关异质性的首个泛欧洲证据。它表明,社会经济梯度在形成欧洲人口所经历的健康动态方面发挥了重要作用。相对于由收入水平决定的个人的纯粹经济地位,这些动态似乎是渐进的。当个人的经济条件扩大到包括非纯粹的货币方面,如职业条件和父母背景时,这一特征就会恢复。
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引用次数: 0
Do Fossil Fuel Subsidies Crowd Out Health Expenditure? A Country-Level Longitudinal Analysis. 化石燃料补贴会挤占医疗支出吗?国家层面的纵向分析。
IF 2.4 3区 医学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-20 DOI: 10.1002/hec.70074
Judite Gonçalves, Eduardo Costa, Thomas Hone, Damini Singh, Paula Pereda, Anthony A Laverty, Christopher Millett

Annually, countries allocate hundreds of millions of dollars to subsidize fossil fuels, often at the expense of public health and environmental sustainability. This undermines progress toward Sustainable Development Goals (SDG) 3 (Good Health and Well-Being) and 13 (Climate Action). Despite this, the impact of fossil fuel subsidies (FFS) on social protection expenditure, including health, remains poorly quantified. This study aimed to determine whether FFS crowd out health expenditure globally, using panel data from 126 countries covering the period 2015-2019. An instrumental variable approach, relying on countries' exposure to international energy trade and fluctuations in crude oil price, was employed to capture exogenous variation in FFS and estimate a causal relationship. The analyses revealed that in 2019, 17 countries spent more than five percent of GDP on FFS, with FFS expenditure exceeding health expenditure in 15 of those countries. Specifically, a 1% increase in FFS per capita, driven by rising international oil prices and weighted by countries' exposure to international energy trade, led to a 0.05% (95% CI -0.08% to -0.02%) decrease in domestic health expenditure per capita. These findings underscore the detrimental impact of FFS on health expenditure, presenting another reason to eliminate FFS to achieve SDG3 in addition to avoiding further dangerous climate heating.

每年,各国拨出数亿美元补贴化石燃料,往往以牺牲公共卫生和环境可持续性为代价。这破坏了实现可持续发展目标3(良好健康和福祉)和13(气候行动)的进展。尽管如此,化石燃料补贴对包括保健在内的社会保护支出的影响仍然难以量化。本研究利用2015-2019年126个国家的面板数据,旨在确定FFS是否挤占了全球卫生支出。采用工具变量方法,根据各国对国际能源贸易的敞口和原油价格的波动,捕捉FFS的外生变化并估计因果关系。分析显示,2019年,17个国家将国内生产总值的5%以上用于田间FFS,其中15个国家的田间FFS支出超过卫生支出。具体而言,在国际油价上涨的推动下,并考虑到各国对国际能源贸易的影响,人均FFS增加1%,导致人均国内卫生支出减少0.05%(95%置信区间-0.08%至-0.02%)。这些调查结果强调了田间FFS对卫生支出的不利影响,除了避免进一步危险的气候变暖之外,还提出了消除田间FFS以实现可持续发展目标g3的另一个理由。
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引用次数: 0
The Generational Gift: The Effects of Grandparental Care on the Next Generations' Health and Well-Being. 代际礼物:祖父母关怀对下一代健康和幸福的影响。
IF 2.4 3区 医学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-17 DOI: 10.1002/hec.70054
Mara Barschkett, C Katharina Spiess, Elena Ziege

Health and well-being in the family context can be affected by care giving arrangements. Following parental care and daycare, grandparents are the third most important care givers for children in many Western societies. Despite the relevance of grandparental care, there is little evidence on the causal effects of this care mode on the next generations' health and well-being. In this paper, we fill this gap by investigating the causal impact of regular grandparental care on the self-reported health and (domain-specific) satisfaction of both parents and children. To do so, we exploit geographic distance to grandparents as a source of arguably exogenous variation and use representative German panel data for families with children under the age of 11. Our results suggest positive effects on parental satisfaction with the child care situation, as well as mothers' satisfaction with their leisure time. However, we also find negative effects on children's health, particularly for elementary school aged children and for boys.

家庭中的健康和福祉可能受到照料安排的影响。在许多西方社会,祖父母是继父母照顾和日托之后第三重要的照顾者。尽管祖父母的照顾有相关性,但很少有证据表明这种照顾模式对下一代的健康和福祉有因果影响。在本文中,我们通过调查定期祖父母照顾对父母和子女自我报告的健康和(特定领域)满意度的因果影响来填补这一空白。为此,我们利用与祖父母的地理距离作为外生变异的来源,并使用具有代表性的德国面板数据,用于有11岁以下儿童的家庭。研究结果显示,家长对幼儿保育状况的满意度和母亲对闲暇时间的满意度均有正向影响。然而,我们也发现了对儿童健康的负面影响,特别是对小学学龄儿童和男孩。
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引用次数: 0
Long-Term Health Effects of Early Childhood Exposure to the Child and Dependent Care Tax Credit. 儿童早期接触儿童和受抚养人照顾税收抵免的长期健康影响。
IF 2.4 3区 医学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-17 DOI: 10.1002/hec.70058
Susan Averett, Yating Gong, Yang Wang

This study investigates the long-term health effects of early childhood exposure to the U.S. Child and Dependent Care Tax Credit (CDCTC). Using longitudinal data from the Child Development Supplement of the Panel Study of Income Dynamics, we examine the connection between early-life CDCTC exposure and health outcomes for children aged 6-18. The findings reveal varied effects depending on maternal education: children of mothers with more than a high school education experience adverse physical and mental health outcomes. In contrast, children of mothers who have a high school education or less show improvements in their mental health. These results indicate that, despite its intention to aid working families, the CDCTC may have complex effects on children's health, influenced by socio-economic factors. This study highlights the need for careful policy designs that consider the varying needs of families with different socio-economic statuses.

本研究调查了儿童早期接触美国儿童和受抚养人护理税收抵免(CDCTC)的长期健康影响。利用收入动态小组研究的儿童发展补充的纵向数据,我们研究了6-18岁儿童早期接触CDCTC与健康结果之间的联系。研究结果显示,受教育程度的不同会产生不同的影响:受过高中以上教育的母亲所生的孩子身体和心理健康都会出现不良后果。相比之下,受过高中或更低教育的母亲所生的孩子在心理健康方面有所改善。这些结果表明,尽管CDCTC旨在帮助工薪家庭,但受社会经济因素的影响,它可能对儿童健康产生复杂的影响。这项研究强调需要仔细设计政策,考虑到具有不同社会经济地位的家庭的不同需要。
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引用次数: 0
Disability Insurance as a Complement to Labor Income: Evidence From Italian Administrative Data. 残障保险作为劳动收入的补充:来自意大利行政数据的证据。
IF 2.4 3区 医学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-13 DOI: 10.1002/hec.70072
Zantomio Francesca, Belloni Michele, Carrieri Vincenzo, Farina Elena, Simonetti Irene

We investigate how disability insurance (DI) generosity affects DI take-up and labor market participation in a setting where benefits can be cumulated with substantial labor earnings. Using rich administrative data on Italian private-sector workers and a Regression Discontinuity in Time design, we find a large behavioral response to DI generosity, with an elasticity of 1.26 in DI take-up, while employment effects are minor and concentrated among immigrants. Our identification strategy exploits a major social security reform that reduced the expected DI replacement rate and generated a clear income effect. To address unobserved heterogeneity and the unobservability of underlying disability, we focus on individuals affected by acute cardiovascular shocks whose DI eligibility is plausibly exogenous. Overall, our results suggest that when earnings cumulability is extensive, DI is widely perceived as a complement to labor income. This has important implications for the design of labor-inclusive DI schemes.

我们研究了残障保险(DI)慷慨如何影响残障保险(DI)的使用和劳动力市场的参与,在这样的环境中,福利可以通过大量的劳动收入来积累。利用意大利私营部门工人的丰富行政数据和时间设计中的回归不连续,我们发现对DI慷慨的行为反应很大,DI接受的弹性为1.26,而就业影响较小,集中在移民中。我们的识别策略利用了一项重大的社会保障改革,该改革降低了预期的残障保险替代率,并产生了明显的收入效应。为了解决未观察到的异质性和潜在残疾的不可观察性,我们将重点放在急性心血管休克影响的个体上,这些个体的DI资格似乎是外源性的。总的来说,我们的结果表明,当收入累积性广泛时,残障投资被广泛认为是对劳动收入的补充。这对劳动力包容性残障保险计划的设计具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 0
Physician Agency and the Zero-Markup Drug Policy in China: Evidence From a Structural Model. 医师代理与中国药品零加价政策:来自结构模型的证据。
IF 2.4 3区 医学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-13 DOI: 10.1002/hec.70073
Qifan Huang, Zhentong Lu, Castiel Chen Zhuang

This paper quantifies physician agency in China's prescription drug market by exploiting the structural shift created by the Zero-Markup Drug Policy. We find that physicians' prescribing decisions are about three times more sensitive to the hospital's profit margin than to the retail price faced by patients. The study provides several key findings. First, government policy exerts a strong influence on drug prices. Second, branded drugs are generally preferred over generics and display lower price elasticity. Third, the policy accounts for more than half of the observed decline in average wholesale prices. Finally, while the policy improves patient welfare, it reduces pharmaceutical firms' sales and profits, and a partial restoration of drug markups could increase overall social welfare.

本文利用药品零价差政策带来的结构性转变,量化了中国处方药市场的医师代理。我们发现,医生的处方决策对医院利润率的敏感性大约是对患者面临的零售价格的敏感性的三倍。这项研究提供了几个关键发现。首先,政府政策对药品价格有很大影响。其次,品牌药通常比仿制药更受欢迎,价格弹性更低。第三,在观察到的平均批发价格下降中,该政策占了一半以上。最后,该政策在提高患者福利的同时,减少了制药公司的销售和利润,部分恢复药品加成可以增加整体社会福利。
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引用次数: 0
Do Prices Matter for Healthcare Accessibility? Evidence From a Means-Tested Complementary Health Insurance in France. 价格对医疗可及性有影响吗?来自法国经济状况调查的补充健康保险的证据。
IF 2.4 3区 医学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-12 DOI: 10.1002/hec.70070
Benoît Carré, Florence Jusot, Jérôme Wittwer

In France, the Couverture Maladie Universelle Complémentaire (CMU-C) scheme is a means-tested, state-financed, complementary health insurance program that fully covers healthcare. Using administrative claims data and a staggered difference-in-differences approach, we estimate the impact of enrollment in the program on healthcare utilization. To address selection into the program, we use health shocks at the family level to exogenize individual enrollment. The findings indicate that access to free healthcare significantly increases healthcare utilization at both intensive and extensive margins. This effect is driven primarily by individuals who are uninsured before enrolling in the CMU-C. Moreover, individuals with severe or chronic illnesses, who already receive additional public coverage for their conditions, experience significant gains from the CMU-C coverage. Finally, these effects persist throughout the coverage period.

在法国,全民健康保险(CMU-C)计划是一项经济状况调查、国家资助的补充健康保险计划,全面覆盖医疗保健。使用行政索赔数据和交错差异方法,我们估计了该计划的注册对医疗保健利用率的影响。为了解决方案的选择问题,我们使用家庭层面的健康冲击来外生个体登记。研究结果表明,获得免费医疗保健可显著提高医疗保健利用的集约化和广泛化边际。这种影响主要是由在注册CMU-C之前没有保险的个人驱动的。此外,患有严重或慢性疾病的个人,他们已经获得了额外的公共保险,从CMU-C覆盖中获得了重大收益。最后,这些影响在整个覆盖期内持续存在。
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引用次数: 0
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Health economics
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