A Robust Strategy of Geophysical Logging for Predicting Payable Lithofacies to Forecast Sweet Spots Using Digital Intelligence Paradigms in a Heterogeneous Gas Field

IF 4.8 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Natural Resources Research Pub Date : 2024-05-14 DOI:10.1007/s11053-024-10350-4
Umar Ashraf, Hucai Zhang, Hung Vo Thanh, Aqsa Anees, Muhammad Ali, Zhenhua Duan, Hassan Nasir Mangi, Xiaonan Zhang
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Abstract

The most crucial elements in the oil and gas sector are predicting subsurface lithofacies utilizing geophysical logs for reservoir characterization and sweet spot assessment procedures. Nevertheless, accurately predicting payable lithofacies in a complex heterogeneous geological setting, such as the lower goru formation, poses considerable difficulty because conventional methods fall short in delivering highly accurate outcomes. Hence, this research proposes an advanced cost and time-saving data intelligence strategy using multiple classifiers to predict lithofacies with maximum accuracy that will aid in sweet spot evaluation in oil and gas fields globally. Geophysical log data of five wells from a mature gas field were used. The targeted reservoir formation was classified into seven facies types. We evaluated the performance of seven different models: support vector machine (SVM), K-nearest neighbors (KNN), random forest (RF), decision tree (DTr), naive Bayes (NB), adaptive boosting (AB), and ensemble (an integrated SVM, KNN, RF, and DTr classifier). RF and ensemble classifiers predicted the lithofacies with accuracies of 97.5 and 97.3%, respectively. Their efficacy in lithofacies prediction with high accuracy renders them as valuable tools in the domain of sweet spot evaluation. The proposed digital intelligence strategy could help operators identify drilling sites based on in-depth reservoir characterizations.

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在异质气田中使用数字智能范例预测可利用岩性以预测甜点的稳健地球物理测井策略
石油和天然气领域最关键的因素是利用地球物理测井预测地下岩性,以进行储层特征描述和甜点评估程序。然而,在复杂的异质地质环境(如下戈鲁地层)中准确预测可支付岩性却相当困难,因为传统方法无法提供高精度的结果。因此,本研究提出了一种先进的节省成本和时间的数据智能策略,利用多个分类器以最高精度预测岩性,这将有助于全球油气田的甜点评估。本文使用了一个成熟气田五口井的地球物理测井数据。目标储层被分为七种岩相类型。我们评估了七种不同模型的性能:支持向量机 (SVM)、K-近邻 (KNN)、随机森林 (RF)、决策树 (DTr)、天真贝叶斯 (NB)、自适应提升 (AB) 和集合(集成 SVM、KNN、RF 和 DTr 分类器)。RF和集合分类器预测岩层的准确率分别为97.5%和97.3%。它们在岩性预测方面的高准确率使其成为甜点评估领域的重要工具。所提出的数字智能策略可帮助运营商在深入分析储层特征的基础上确定钻井地点。
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来源期刊
Natural Resources Research
Natural Resources Research Environmental Science-General Environmental Science
CiteScore
11.90
自引率
11.10%
发文量
151
期刊介绍: This journal publishes quantitative studies of natural (mainly but not limited to mineral) resources exploration, evaluation and exploitation, including environmental and risk-related aspects. Typical articles use geoscientific data or analyses to assess, test, or compare resource-related aspects. NRR covers a wide variety of resources including minerals, coal, hydrocarbon, geothermal, water, and vegetation. Case studies are welcome.
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