Effects of Low Emission Zones on Air Quality, New Vehicle Registrations, and Birthweights: Evidence from Japan

Shuhei Nishitateno, Paul J. Burke
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Abstract

In October 2003 four contiguous prefectures in Greater Tokyo introduced Low Emission Zones (LEZs) from which diesel trucks and buses without particulate filters have been banned from entering. This paper analyzes the effects of this large-scale intervention on air quality, new vehicle registrations, and birthweights. We use a matching approach to construct a control group comparable to the designated areas in terms of propensity scores based on municipality characteristics during the pre-intervention period and apply a difference-in-differences design. We find evidence that the intervention led to reductions in hourly particulate matter concentrations and the incidence of low birthweights in the Greater Tokyo LEZ relative to the control group. We also find that the LEZs led to increases in registrations of new trucks and buses. This is not the case for passenger cars, which were exempt from the regulations. Our paper provides the first evidence of a significant link between LEZs and reduced incidence of low birthweights.

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低排放区对空气质量、新车注册量和出生体重的影响:来自日本的证据
2003 年 10 月,大东京地区的四个毗连县设立了低排放区 (LEZ),禁止没有安装微粒过滤器的柴油卡车和公交车进入。本文分析了这一大规模干预措施对空气质量、新车注册和出生体重的影响。我们根据干预前的城市特征,采用匹配法构建了一个在倾向分数方面与指定地区具有可比性的对照组,并采用了差分设计。我们发现有证据表明,相对于对照组,干预措施降低了大东京低排放区的每小时颗粒物浓度和出生体重不足的发生率。我们还发现,低排放区增加了新卡车和公共汽车的注册量。而乘用车则不同,因为乘用车不受该法规的限制。我们的论文首次提供了低排放区与出生体重不足发生率降低之间存在显著联系的证据。
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