Retail investor trade and the pricing of earnings

IF 4.8 3区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Review of Accounting Studies Pub Date : 2024-05-11 DOI:10.1007/s11142-024-09825-9
Jeremy Michels
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Abstract

Using the number of Robinhood users holding a firm’s shares, I examine how novice retail investors respond to earnings announcements and the implications of their responses for the price-earnings relation. I do not find evidence of informed trading among these investors. Changes in their holdings also do not resemble random, uncorrelated noise trading. Instead I find that the number of retail investors holding a firm’s shares increases in response to both more positive and more negative earnings news, consistent with attention-driven trade. While retail trades appear to react to announced earnings, an analysis of intraday trading indicates that these traders respond most consistently to market returns following the earnings announcement, as opposed to only earnings itself. Consistent with this coordinated trading exerting pressure on prices, I find that stock returns drift upward following both the most positive and the most negative earnings surprises when increases in retail holdings are greatest and the firm is relatively small or costly to sell short.

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散户投资者交易与收益定价
利用 Robinhood 用户持有公司股票的数量,我研究了新手散户投资者如何对盈利公告做出反应,以及他们的反应对市盈率关系的影响。我没有发现这些投资者进行知情交易的证据。他们的持股变化也不像随机的、无相关性的噪音交易。相反,我发现持有公司股票的散户投资者数量会随着正面和负面盈利消息的增加而增加,这与注意力驱动型交易是一致的。虽然散户交易似乎对公布的收益做出了反应,但对盘中交易的分析表明,这些交易者对收益公布后的市场回报做出了最一致的反应,而不仅仅是收益本身。与这种协调交易对价格产生的压力相一致的是,我发现当散户持股量增加最多、公司规模相对较小或卖空成本较高时,最积极和最消极的盈利意外公布后,股票回报率都会向上漂移。
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来源期刊
Review of Accounting Studies
Review of Accounting Studies BUSINESS, FINANCE-
CiteScore
7.90
自引率
7.10%
发文量
82
期刊介绍: Review of Accounting Studies provides an outlet for significant academic research in accounting including theoretical, empirical, and experimental work. The journal is committed to the principle that distinctive scholarship is rigorous. While the editors encourage all forms of research, it must contribute to the discipline of accounting. The Review of Accounting Studies is committed to prompt turnaround on the manuscripts it receives.  For the majority of manuscripts the journal will make an accept-reject decision on the first round.  Authors will be provided the opportunity to revise accepted manuscripts in response to reviewer and editor comments; however, discretion over such manuscripts resides principally with the authors.  An editorial revise and resubmit decision is reserved for new submissions which are not acceptable in their current version, but for which the editor sees a clear path of changes which would make the manuscript publishable. Officially cited as: Rev Account Stud
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