Financial Development and Subnational Export Performance: Evidence from the Indian States

P. Arora, Jaydeep Mukherjee
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Abstract

The present study investigates the relationship between export performance and the level of financial development for 30 Indian states and union territories (UTs) from 2011–12 to 2020–21. The study first ranks the states and UTs on the parameters of financial development and physical infrastructure using the robust principal component analysis method. By applying the instrumental variable fixed effects panel data technique, the study observes that the level of financial development has a significant positive impact on the export performance of the states. The study also finds a positive effect of the availability of physical infrastructure, quality of governance and fiscal position on states’ export performance but does not observe a significant role of political stability in this context. The results suggest that export growth in the economically laggard and Himalayan states can come through policy interventions to improve financial development. In contrast, landlocked states need better physical infrastructure to facilitate easier production and transportation of export goods. The study lends new perspectives to the nascent literature on inter-regional disparities in India’s export performance and is expected to provide insights into improving the sub-national export performance of other developing countries as well. JEL Codes: F14, F36, F4
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金融发展与国家以下各级的出口绩效:印度各邦的证据
本研究调查了 2011-12 年至 2020-21 年印度 30 个邦和中央直辖区(UT)的出口绩效与金融发展水平之间的关系。研究首先使用稳健主成分分析方法,根据金融发展和物质基础设施参数对各邦和中央直辖区进行排名。通过应用工具变量固定效应面板数据技术,研究发现金融发展水平对各邦的出口绩效有显著的积极影响。研究还发现,有形基础设施的可用性、治理质量和财政状况对各州的出口绩效有积极影响,但没有观察到政治稳定性在这方面的重要作用。研究结果表明,经济落后邦和喜马拉雅邦的出口增长可以通过改善金融发展的政策干预来实现。与此相反,内陆邦需要更好的有形基础设施,以方便出口产品的生产和运输。这项研究为有关印度出口绩效地区间差异的新兴文献提供了新的视角,并有望为改善其他发展中国家的次国家级出口绩效提供启示。JEL Codes:F14, F36, F4
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