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ICT Diffusion, Trade Openness and Growth: Empirical Evidence from Asian Countries ICT 传播、贸易开放与增长:来自亚洲国家的经验证据
Pub Date : 2024-08-10 DOI: 10.1177/00194662241263316
M. Chhabra, Anushka Verma, A. K. Giri
The present study contributes to the existing literature of trade-growth and information and communication technology (ICT)-growth nexus by examining the impact of ICT-trade nexus on economic and inclusive growth in 17 developing Asian countries for the time period 2005–2019. Using system generalised method of moments (GMM), the study confirms whether ICT diffusion enhances or distorts the impact of trade on growth. ICT diffusion is measured through a composite index of ICT (mobile, telephone, broadband, internet) constructed using principal component analysis (PCA) along with trade (per cent of GDP), GDP per capita and human development index (HDI) as a proxy for trade openness, economic growth and inclusive growth, respectively. Findings confirm positive impact of ICT diffusion and trade openness on both economic growth and inclusive growth. Thus, trade openness and ICT can be outlined as essential contributors to the growth of the major emerging Asian economies. The study concludes with policy implications focusing on investment in ICT sector and human capital development, which will consequently foster trade and uplift growth. JEL Codes: C23, F14, F43, O33
本研究通过考察 2005-2019 年期间 17 个亚洲发展中国家的信息和通信技术(ICT)-贸易关系对经济和包容性增长的影响,为有关贸易-增长以及信息和通信技术(ICT)-增长关系的现有文献做出了贡献。研究采用系统广义矩法(GMM),证实了信息和通信技术的传播是增强还是扭曲了贸易对增长的影响。信息和通信技术的传播是通过使用主成分分析法(PCA)构建的信息和通信技术(移动、电话、宽带、互联网)综合指数以及贸易(占国内生产总值的百分比)、人均国内生产总值和人类发展指数(HDI)来衡量的,后者分别代表贸易开放度、经济增长和包容性增长。研究结果证实,信息和通信技术的传播和贸易开放对经济增长和包容性增长都有积极影响。因此,贸易开放度和信息与通信技术可以被概括为亚洲主要新兴经济体增长的重要促进因素。研究最后提出了政策影响,重点是信息和通信技术领域的投资以及人力资本开发,这将促进贸易和增长。JEL Codes:C23, F14, F43, O33
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引用次数: 0
Making Global Pharma Supply Chain Resilient: Will the PLI Scheme of India make it a Reliable Alternative to China for the Supply of APIs? 使全球医药供应链具有弹性:印度的 PLI 计划能否使其成为中国原料药供应的可靠替代选择?
Pub Date : 2024-08-10 DOI: 10.1177/00194662241265475
Reji K. Joseph, Ramaa Arun Kumar
The COVID-19-induced disruptions in the global supply chains and growing geopolitical sensitivities of governments and multinational corporations (MNCs) are increasingly resulting in China plus one strategy in order to ensure supply chain resilience. This strategy is expected to benefit countries like India in sectors such as pharmaceuticals. Having faced the brunt of excessive reliance on a single country for supplies during the pandemic, India launched a product linked incentive (PLI) scheme in July 2020, covering 41 products, to incentivise domestic production of key starting materials (KSMs), drug intermediates (DIs) and active pharmaceutical ingredients (APIs) with the objective of reducing dependence on China. Launching at a time when countries and firms were actively considering the strategy of supply chain diversification, this scheme was perceived to be perfectly timed. However, the response of the industry was not on the expected lines. This article analyses the early trends coming from the implementation of the scheme and looks into the reasons for the lukewarm response of the industry. It identifies three areas—creating confidence among the investors, accommodating micro, small and medium enterprises (MSMEs) and involving public sector enterprises—where more attention is needed to make India self-reliant in APIs and their DIs and KSMs. JEL Codes: F02, F13, L24, L65, L78, O30
COVID-19 引发的全球供应链中断以及各国政府和跨国公司对地缘政治的日益敏感,越来越多地导致了 "中国加一 "战略,以确保供应链的弹性。这一战略有望使印度等国在制药等行业受益。由于在大流行病期间过度依赖单一国家的供应,印度首当其冲,于 2020 年 7 月推出了产品挂钩激励(PLI)计划,涵盖 41 种产品,以激励国内生产关键起始原料(KSM)、药物中间体(DI)和活性药物成分(API),从而减少对中国的依赖。该计划的推出正值各国和企业积极考虑供应链多元化战略之时,因此被认为是恰逢其时。然而,业界的反应却不尽如人意。本文分析了该计划实施的早期趋势,并探讨了业界反应冷淡的原因。文章指出,要使印度在原料药及其直接原料药和关键原料药方面实现自力更生,需要在三个方面给予更多关注:在投资者中树立信心;为微型、小型和中型企业(MSMEs)提供便利;让公共部门企业参与进来。JEL Codes:F02, F13, L24, L65, L78, O30
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引用次数: 0
Technology Intensification and 
Farmers’ Welfare: A Case 
Study from Karnataka, 
a Semi-arid State of India 技术强化与农民福利:印度半干旱邦卡纳塔克邦的案例研究
Pub Date : 2024-07-10 DOI: 10.1177/00194662241253871
S. Kapoor, B. Pal, Aditi Singhal, K. Anantha
Technology adoption has been advocated to be an important way to improve agricultural productivity and welfare of the farmers in the semi-arid regions across the globe. Government of Karnataka implemented Bhoosamrudhi programme in four districts of the state (Bidar, Chikballapur, Dharwad and Udupi) as a pilot project to increase the crop yield and income of smallholder farmers. This programme was launched on the theme of technology adoption, along with convergence among different departments of agriculture. Farmers have been classified into five categories based on their levels of technology intensification to assess the impact of different levels of technology intensification on their income level. The research is built on a primary survey conducted in pilot districts of the state in 2018 over a sample of 1,465 farmer households. The results are generated using econometric methods of propensity score matching (PSM) and inverse probability weighted with regression adjustment (IPWRA), which highlight that higher the intensification, higher the net returns to the farmers. The results state that non-adopters would benefit additional ₹3,200 per month if they adopt at least one level of technology intensification. Hence, this programme turned out to be a successful model for smallholder farmers in semi-arid region of India. Steps should be taken to maintain and expand the momentum of the adoption to ensure food and livelihood security in the economy. JEL Codes: Q16, Q54, Q55, C13
采用技术一直被认为是提高全球半干旱地区农业生产力和农民福利的重要途径。卡纳塔克邦政府在该邦的四个县(比达、奇克巴拉普尔、达尔瓦德和乌杜比)实施了 Bhoosamrudhi 计划,作为提高作物产量和小农收入的试点项目。该计划以技术采用为主题,同时在不同的农业部门之间进行整合。农民根据其技术强化程度被分为五类,以评估不同程度的技术强化对其收入水平的影响。研究基于 2018 年在该州试点县对 1465 户农户样本进行的初步调查。研究结果采用倾向得分匹配法(PSM)和反概率加权回归调整法(IPWRA)等计量经济学方法得出,结果表明,强化程度越高,农民的净收益越高。结果表明,非采用者如果采用至少一级技术强化,每月将额外获益 3 200 英镑。因此,该计划对印度半干旱地区的小农来说是一个成功的模式。应采取措施保持和扩大采用的势头,以确保经济中的粮食和生计安全。JEL Codes:Q16, Q54, Q55, C13
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引用次数: 0
International Remittances and Household Expenditure Patterns in Bangladesh 孟加拉国的国际汇款和家庭支出模式
Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI: 10.1177/00194662241238937
S. Dey, Faroque Ahmed
The study endeavours to investigate how the transfers of international remittances influence the expenditure behaviour of returnee migrant families in Bangladesh. The primary data were collected using the multi-stage stratified random sampling technique through a structured questionnaire from Tangail and Comilla on several expenditure characteristics of migrants. Propensity score matching (PSM) method is employed to assess the impact of remittances on expenditure patterns of returnee migrant households through the estimation of average treatment effects on the treated. The PSM technique has allowed us to evaluate the impact of remittances on several expenditure categories such as food, non-food, education, medical and so on. The study findings divulge that remittances exhibit a significant and positive impact on poverty reduction since they have contributed a lot in terms of income generation and increment of consumption expenditures. Moreover, compared to non-migrant families, migrant families are more exposed to positive behavioural transformations because of their spending on productive investments like non-durable goods, education and health care. Therefore, the findings underline the optimistic view of migration and development theory that foreign remittances support to increase the investments both in the physical and human capital of migrant families as well as to improve the wellbeing of Bangladeshi people. JEL Codes: D10, F24, O15
本研究旨在探讨国际汇款如何影响孟加拉国回国移民家庭的支出行为。研究采用多阶段分层随机抽样技术,通过结构化问卷从 Tangail 和 Comilla 收集了有关移民若干支出特征的原始数据。我们采用倾向得分匹配法(PSM),通过估算平均治疗效果,评估汇款对回国移民家庭支出模式的影响。倾向得分匹配法使我们能够评估汇款对食品、非食品、教育、医疗等多个支出类别的影响。研究结果表明,汇款对减贫产生了显著的积极影响,因为汇款在创收和增加消费支出方面做出了巨大贡献。此外,与非移民家庭相比,移民家庭在非耐用品、教育和医疗保健等生产性投资方面的支出更多,因而更容易产生积极的行为转变。因此,研究结果凸显了移民与发展理论的乐观观点,即外国汇款有助于增加移民家庭对物质资本和人力资本的投资,并改善孟加拉国人民的福祉。JEL Codes:D10, F24, O15
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引用次数: 0
Political Economy of Fertiliser Use in Agriculture: A Study of Two Districts of West Bengal* 农业化肥使用的政治经济学:西孟加拉邦两个地区的研究*
Pub Date : 2024-06-13 DOI: 10.1177/00194662241251565
Rishav Mukherjee, Pratip Kumar Datta, Saumya Chakrabarti
The overuse of chemical fertiliser in agriculture is a serious concern across the Global South, as well as in India. In this context, a pan-India government programme of soil testing and recommending optimal doses of fertilisers has been introduced. Given this, we have undertaken a study based on a primary survey of 180 sample households in two agriculturally advanced districts of West Bengal, India. We have identified widespread overuse of chemical fertilisers and certain critical drawbacks of the government programme. Crucially, we have also found that over and above farmers’ lack of awareness (and some of their traits), large private fertiliser companies might be playing a dominant role in this practice of overuse. This interventionist exercise should have far-reaching economic, environmental and even sociopolitical impacts, and hence it calls for critical policy involvement. JEL Codes: P16, Q12, Q15, Q18
在全球南方国家和印度,农业过度使用化肥是一个令人严重关切的问题。在这种情况下,印度政府推出了一项全印度土壤测试和推荐最佳肥料剂量的计划。有鉴于此,我们对印度西孟加拉邦两个农业发达地区的 180 户抽样家庭进行了初步调查,并在此基础上开展了一项研究。我们发现了化肥过度使用的普遍现象以及政府计划的某些关键缺陷。最重要的是,我们还发现,除了农民缺乏意识(以及他们的一些特性)之外,大型私营化肥公司可能在过度使用化肥的做法中起着主导作用。这种干预行为会对经济、环境甚至社会政治产生深远影响,因此需要关键政策的参与。JEL Codes:P16, Q12, Q15, Q18
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引用次数: 0
Factors Influencing Adoption of Technical Advice from Agricultural Extension Services: Evidence from a Field Survey in Western Uttar Pradesh, India 影响采用农业推广服务技术建议的因素:来自印度北方邦西部实地调查的证据
Pub Date : 2024-06-11 DOI: 10.1177/00194662241254502
Ankit Nagar, D. K. Nauriyal, Sukhpal Singh
This article examines the key drivers of farmers’ adoption of technical advice and their preferred providers of agricultural extension services. Based on a primary survey conducted in western Uttar Pradesh, India, the data from 272 sample households were analysed using a binary logistic regression model. The findings suggest that farmers’ decisions to adopt technical advice are influenced positively by farm size, household size, average hours spent on farms, training and awareness of the extension scheme. The positive relationship between farm size and technical advice adoption demonstrates the need for extension services to reconsider their strategies for reaching out to more marginal and small farmers, who account for over 85 per cent of agricultural households, by incorporating their priorities into their outreach programmes. Non-government extension sources are found to be important for access but not for the adoption of technical advice. However, in both commercial and public extension services, a lack of faith in extension services is the fundamental cause of the relatively low adoption rate. The low preference of information and communications technology-based extension services underlines that physical forms of extension services are far more important in developing countries like India. JEL Code: Q16
本文研究了农民采纳技术建议的主要驱动因素及其首选的农业推广服务提供商。根据在印度北方邦西部进行的一项初步调查,采用二元逻辑回归模型对来自 272 个样本家庭的数据进行了分析。研究结果表明,农场规模、家庭规模、在农场花费的平均时间、培训和对推广计划的认识都会对农民采纳技术建议的决定产生积极影响。农场规模与采纳技术建议之间的正相关关系表明,推广服务机构有必要重新考虑其战略,通过将占农户 85% 以上的边缘农户和小农户的优先事项纳入其推广计划,向更多的边缘农户和小农户进行推广。研究发现,非政府推广渠道对技术咨询的获取很重要,但对技术咨询的采纳并不重要。然而,在商业和公共推广服务中,对推广服务缺乏信心是采用率相对较低的根本原因。对以信息和通信技术为基础的推广服务的偏好较低,这突出表明在印度这样的发展中国家,实体形式的推广服务要重要得多。JEL 代码:Q16
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引用次数: 0
Credit Quality and Credit Risk: A Rigorous Walkthrough 信用质量和信用风险:严谨的演练
Pub Date : 2024-06-09 DOI: 10.1177/00194662241254500
Richa Verma Bajaj, Soumya Gupta
This article provides an insight into the quality of credit portfolio of banks for the period from 2007–2008 to 2020–2021. The objective is to study the transition of public sector and private sector banks in India from standardised approach (SA) to internal rating-based (IRB) approach of credit risk. The overall structure of the article gives clear insight into why it is important for the banks to improve credit portfolio quality, considering default and recovery risk estimates, which in turn affect the returns of the bank. The study concludes that there is a need to improve credit quality of banks in India with a focus on small banks in public sector and large banks in private sector, as these banks are saddled with high defaults. Low rate of recovery in small banks in public sector and private sector adds to credit loss severity and high risk weights for the banks in IRB regime. However, the recent merger of the public sector banks, considering asset quality concerns, is still an unanswered question. JEL Codes: G010, G210, G320, G330
本文深入分析了 2007-2008 年至 2020-2021 年期间银行信贷组合的质量。目的是研究印度公共部门和私营部门银行从信用风险标准化方法(SA)向基于内部评级方法(IRB)的过渡。文章的整体结构清晰地揭示了银行提高信贷组合质量的重要性,同时考虑到违约和回收风险估计,这反过来又会影响银行的收益。研究得出结论,有必要提高印度银行的信贷质量,重点是公共部门的小型银行和私营部门的大型银行,因为这些银行的违约率很高。公共部门和私营部门小型银行的低回收率加剧了信贷损失的严重性,使银行在《内部审计准则》制度下的风险权重增加。然而,考虑到资产质量问题,近期公共部门银行的合并仍是一个悬而未决的问题。JEL Codes:G010, G210, G320, G330
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引用次数: 0
Modelling (A)symmetric Nexus Between Macroeconomic Information Sentiment Biases and Stock Market Returns in Case of India: A Bound Test Approach 以印度为例,模拟宏观经济信息情绪偏差与股市回报之间的(A)对称关联:边界检验法
Pub Date : 2024-06-02 DOI: 10.1177/00194662241257650
Prem Vaswani, M. Padmaja
This research attempts to scrutinise the asymmetric nexus of macroeconomic factors in determining the financial stock market performance using index returns of BSE-SENSEX and NSE-NIFTY as proxies for stock market performance in India. The auto-regressive distributed lag (ARDL) results demonstrate the long-term nexus of money supply, interest rates, gold prices, inflation, exchange rate, oil prices and foreign institutional investment (FII) in the capital market with stock returns. The non-linear ARDL (NARDL) results unequivocally support that the selected macroeconomic factors have an asymmetric nexus with the stock market performance. The study’s empirical findings have significant consequences for policy in designing the asset allocation decisions by the investor, portfolio managers and policymakers in the circumstances of a sudden positive or negative shock in the stock market. JEL Codes: E44, G10, C58
本研究试图利用 BSE-SENSEX 和 NSE-NIFTY 指数收益率作为印度股市表现的替代指标,仔细研究宏观经济因素在决定金融股市表现方面的非对称关系。自回归分布滞后(ARDL)结果表明,货币供应量、利率、黄金价格、通货膨胀、汇率、石油价格和资本市场中的外国机构投资(FII)与股票收益率之间存在长期联系。非线性 ARDL(NARDL)结果明确支持所选宏观经济因素与股票市场表现之间存在非对称关系。研究的实证结果对投资者、投资组合经理和政策制定者在股市突然受到正面或负面冲击的情况下设计资产配置决策具有重要的政策意义。JEL Codes:E44, G10, C58
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引用次数: 0
Financial Inclusion—A Study of Informal Workers from Delhi NCR 金融普惠--德里非正规工人研究
Pub Date : 2024-05-23 DOI: 10.1177/00194662241254501
Dr. Kawal Gill, Gurminder Kaur Arora, Jappanjyot Kaur Kalra
Financial inclusion is a process of providing financial services to everyone at an affordable cost, particularly to weaker sections and low-income groups. The study analyses the level of awareness, usage of banking services and other financial benefits and explores the hindrances to financial inclusion faced by the informal workers in Delhi National Capital Region (NCR). An empirical survey is done, and 760 responses are evaluated to understand the level of financial inclusion using correlation, logit regression analysis, etc. Findings of the study indicate that level of financial awareness and inclusion increase with age, education and income for fixed salary workers. Major hindrances to financial inclusion are lack of savings for using financial services, lack of necessary documentation and lack of trust in the formal banking system. Therefore, the government needs to make more efforts to reach out to the urban poor and informal workers for all-around inclusiveness. JEL Codes: D14, E26, G2, J46, O1
普惠金融是一个以负担得起的成本向每个人,尤其是弱势群体和低收入群体提供金融服务的过程。本研究分析了德里国家首都区(NCR)非正规工人对银行服务和其他金融福利的认识水平和使用情况,并探讨了他们在金融包容性方面面临的障碍。本研究进行了一项实证调查,并对 760 份答复进行了评估,以利用相关性、对数回归分析等方法了解金融包容性的水平。研究结果表明,固定工资劳动者的金融意识和金融包容性水平随着年龄、教育程度和收入的增加而提高。金融包容性的主要障碍是缺乏使用金融服务的储蓄、缺乏必要的文件以及对正规银行系统缺乏信任。因此,政府需要做出更多努力,向城市贫民和非正规工人伸出援手,以实现全面普惠。JEL Codes:D14, E26, G2, J46, O1
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引用次数: 0
Economic Efficiency of Agriculture in Punjab: Evidence from Cost of Cultivation Survey 旁遮普省农业的经济效率:种植成本调查证据
Pub Date : 2024-05-15 DOI: 10.1177/00194662241251554
Poonam Rani, A. K. Sahoo, Naresh Singla
Understanding the economic efficiency of agriculture production in Punjab is an interest of this study. The Cost of Cultivation Survey data set for the block period 2014–15 to 2016–17 has been used. Data envelopment analysis deterministic approach has been applied to measure production efficiency. The estimation showed that in the case of wheat, 73 per cent of tehsils and in the case of paddy, 77 per cent of tehsils in Punjab are found to be inefficient in crop production due to poor input utilisation (managerial inefficiency) and scale size (scale inefficiency). But the higher proportion of inefficiency is mainly attributed to the non-optimal scale of production as compared to pure technical allocation. The farmers can increase their production level on average by 7–17 per cent through improving farm efficiency. Findings showed that farmers are allocating their input resources in an exploitative manner due to which they failed to use an appropriate combination of inputs, which is necessary to achieve cost minimisation. These findings have important implications for agricultural development policy and are likely to offer some useful insights for the adequate use of scarce sources. JEL Codes: C33, C67, Q10, Q15
了解旁遮普省农业生产的经济效益是本研究的兴趣所在。本研究使用了 2014-15 年至 2016-17 年这一时期的种植成本调查数据集。数据包络分析确定性方法被用于衡量生产效率。估算结果显示,由于投入利用率低(管理效率低)和规模大小(规模效率低),旁遮普邦 73% 的小麦种植区和 77% 的水稻种植区的作物生产效率低下。但与纯粹的技术分配相比,较高比例的低效率主要归因于非最佳生产规模。通过提高农场效率,农民的生产水平平均可提高 7%-17%。研究结果表明,农民以一种剥削性的方式分配投入资源,因此未能使用适当的投入组合,而这是实现成本最小化所必需的。这些发现对农业发展政策具有重要意义,并有可能为充分利用稀缺资源提供一些有益的启示。JEL Codes:C33, C67, Q10, Q15
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引用次数: 0
期刊
The Indian Economic Journal
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