Infant Mortality Rate Convergence across Indian States: Relative Club Convergence Evidence

Vaseem Akram, Gulnawaz Usmani, B. N. Rath, Bushra Praveen
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Abstract

This article investigates the relative convergence of infant mortality rate (IMR) across the 15 major Indian states for the period 1987–2020. To test this hypothesis, this study applies Phillips and Sul’s (2007) panel convergence test. Further, for the robustness of our findings, this study implements the extension of Phillips and Sul’s relative club convergence test, which Kwak propounded in 2021. The results based on Phillips and Sul show divergence in IMR among the states; however, the existence of convergence when 15 states are grouped into different clubs. Four final clubs emerged based on the Kwak test, suggesting that each club has its unique transition path. One group is also identified, suggesting neither convergence nor divergence. From the policy perspective, it is important for the government to target reducing IMR by emphasising at the club level rather than focusing on all states together. JEL Codes: I140, H75
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印度各邦的婴儿死亡率趋同:相对俱乐部趋同证据
本文研究了 1987-2020 年间印度 15 个主要邦婴儿死亡率的相对趋同性。为了检验这一假设,本研究采用了菲利普斯和苏尔(2007 年)的面板收敛检验法。此外,为了使我们的研究结果更加稳健,本研究还对 Kwak 于 2021 年提出的 Phillips 和 Sul 的相对俱乐部收敛检验进行了扩展。基于菲利普斯和苏尔的检验结果表明,各州的国内生产总值存在差异;然而,当 15 个州被归入不同的俱乐部时,则存在趋同性。根据 Kwak 检验,最终出现了四个俱乐部,表明每个俱乐部都有其独特的过渡路径。此外,还发现了一个既不趋同也不发散的群体。从政策的角度来看,政府应通过强调俱乐部层面而不是将所有州集中在一起来降低婴儿死亡率。JEL Codes:I140, H75
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