Repercussions of Black Swan Event on The Indian Stock Market-A Case Study of Domestic Investors

Devadutta Indoria
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Abstract

As the stock market is constantly changing and is dependent on a wide range of unpredictable variables, predicting its behaviour is one of the most difficult tasks in the time-series prediction domain. Black Swan occurrences, which are very rare but sometimes deadly, can have a significant impact on the market. The stock market, like other financial markets, is vulnerable to what are known as ‘Black Swan’ occurrences, which are sudden and unexpected yet have a profoundly detrimental effect. If the successful stock trend can be forecast, regulators and investors may improve their trading tactics, lowering investment risk while increasing profits. First, this study examines the effect of the black swan event on the stock of the listed firms in which our sample of respondents invests, and then it compares the effectof the varied risk handling of many prominent enterprises on the stock price recovery. A more rapid reaction to risk occurrences means early processing time and less vulnerability to black swans.
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黑天鹅事件对印度股市的影响--国内投资者案例研究
股票市场瞬息万变,并依赖于各种不可预测的变量,因此预测其行为是时间序列预测领域最困难的任务之一。黑天鹅事件非常罕见,但有时是致命的,会对市场产生重大影响。与其他金融市场一样,股票市场也很容易受到所谓 "黑天鹅 "事件的影响,这些事件来得突然、出乎意料,但却具有深远的破坏性影响。如果能够预测成功的股票走势,监管者和投资者就可以改进他们的交易策略,在增加利润的同时降低投资风险。本研究首先考察了黑天鹅事件对样本受访者所投资的上市公司股票的影响,然后比较了多家知名企业不同的风险处理方式对股价回升的影响。对风险的快速反应意味着更早的处理时间和更少的黑天鹅脆弱性。
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