Risk Factors of Recently Discovered Type II Diabetic Patients at Sohag University Hospitals

Abstract

: Introduction: The risk of major complications is greatly increased by type 2 diabetes (T2D). By 2030, it is predicted that prevalence of type 2D will be dramatically increase in Egypt. Aim: is to assess the risk factors for T2D in Egyptian populations and try to design a more convenient Egyptian risk score for susceptibility to T2D. Patients & Methods : This study was conducted at Sohag University Hospital including 377 participants divided into 2 groups; study group included 161 recently discovered diabetics & healthy group 216 person. Results : Certain age groups, females, steroid intake, carbohydrate or fat diets, sedentary life, hypertension, family history of T2D, HCV, BMI > 25, those with waist circumference for males ≥ 90cm & for females ≥ 85cm were independent predictors for Univariate and Multivariate regression analysis of risk factors for newely discovered DM. A score of ≥13 points indicated a high risk for DM. The (ROC) curve illustrating how well the risk score predicted DM in the population studied ((AUC) = 0.82, 95% CI 0.78:0.86) and cutoff value >13 has a sensitivity of 70% and specificity of 85%. Conclusion : In the current study, a more convenient DM risk scoring model is designed specifically and appropriately for Egyptians. A score > 13 indicates a high risk for DM.