Assessment of the Reproducibility of Oceanographic Fields in Retrospective Forecasts Using the INM-CM5 Earth System Model

IF 16.4 1区 化学 Q1 CHEMISTRY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Accounts of Chemical Research Pub Date : 2024-05-28 DOI:10.3103/s1068373924030014
Yu. D. Resnyanskii, A. A. Zelen’ko, B. S. Strukov, V. N. Stepanov, V. M. Khan, V. V. Vorob’eva, M. A. Tarasevich, A. S. Gritsun, E. M. Volodin
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Abstract

Skill scores of the reproducibility of oceanographic fields in applying the INM-CM5 climate model to long-term forecasting for several months are presented. It is shown that disagreements between the model forecasts and the control data in terms of their absolute values are mainly due to the model climate bias. A degree of consistency with the control data significantly increases when comparing anomalies counted from the individual normals of each of the compared data types. In particular, the forecasts of SST anomalies for the Niño-3.4 region with a lead time up to six months appear to be quite successful.

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利用 INM-CM5 地球系统模式评估回顾性预报中海洋学场的再现性
摘要 介绍了在应用 INM-CM5 气候模式进行几个月的长期预报时,对海洋场的再现性进行的技能评分。结果表明,模式预报与对照数据在绝对值上的差异主要是由于模式气候偏差造成的。在比较每种比较数据类型的单个常模计算的异常时,与对照数据的一致程度明显提高。特别是,对 3.4 尼诺现象区域的海温异常的预报,准备时间长达 6 个月,似乎相当成功。
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来源期刊
Accounts of Chemical Research
Accounts of Chemical Research 化学-化学综合
CiteScore
31.40
自引率
1.10%
发文量
312
审稿时长
2 months
期刊介绍: Accounts of Chemical Research presents short, concise and critical articles offering easy-to-read overviews of basic research and applications in all areas of chemistry and biochemistry. These short reviews focus on research from the author’s own laboratory and are designed to teach the reader about a research project. In addition, Accounts of Chemical Research publishes commentaries that give an informed opinion on a current research problem. Special Issues online are devoted to a single topic of unusual activity and significance. Accounts of Chemical Research replaces the traditional article abstract with an article "Conspectus." These entries synopsize the research affording the reader a closer look at the content and significance of an article. Through this provision of a more detailed description of the article contents, the Conspectus enhances the article's discoverability by search engines and the exposure for the research.
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