Numerical Simulation of the Time Series of Bioclimatic Indices in the Russian Arctic Based on a Stochastic Weather Generator

IF 1.4 4区 地球科学 Q4 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Russian Meteorology and Hydrology Pub Date : 2024-05-28 DOI:10.3103/s1068373924030063
M. S. Akenteva, N. A. Kargapolova
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Abstract

The paper proposes an approach to the numerical stochastic modeling of the time series of the wind chill index and equivalent effective temperature at weather stations located in the Arctic zone of the Russian Federation. The approach is based on the use of a specially designed stochastic weather generator. It is shown that the approach allows developing the models of the time series of bioclimatic indices that very accurately reproduce various statistical properties of real processes related, in particular, to their daily variations and specific features of the study area.

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基于随机天气发生器的俄罗斯北极地区生物气候指数时间序列数值模拟
摘要 本文提出了一种对位于俄罗斯联邦北极地区气象站的风寒指数和等效有效温度时间序列进行数值随机建模的方法。该方法基于使用专门设计的随机天气发生器。结果表明,该方法可以建立生物气候指数时间序列模型,非常准确地再现与实际过程有关的各种统计特性,特别是与它们的日变化和研究区域的具体特征有关的统计特性。
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来源期刊
Russian Meteorology and Hydrology
Russian Meteorology and Hydrology METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES-
CiteScore
1.70
自引率
28.60%
发文量
44
审稿时长
4-8 weeks
期刊介绍: Russian Meteorology and Hydrology is a peer reviewed journal that covers topical issues of hydrometeorological science and practice: methods of forecasting weather and hydrological phenomena, climate monitoring issues, environmental pollution, space hydrometeorology, agrometeorology.
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