Internet linkage and international trade: From the perspective of risk alleviation

Jie Duan, Zengxi Hu
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Abstract

Extensive research has studied the effect of the Internet on trade, yet little is known about its role in trade facilitation through risk alleviation. This research investigates how Internet linkage facilitates exports, particularly through the novel channel of risk alleviation. Theoretically, this paper introduces a gravity model augmented with export risk to establish the stimulating effect of Internet linkage on exports. Empirically, this paper uses inter‐domain hyperlinks as a proxy for Internet linkage in 2009, uncovering a statistically significant positive impact of Internet linkage on exports. Notably, there is a 27.8% increase in exports in reaction to a doubling of the Internet linkage intensity. By employing various techniques, we meticulously address potential endogeneity issues and substantiate the risk‐alleviation mechanism at both the country and product levels. Particularly, we find that exports to riskier countries and of riskier products benefit more from the Internet linkage. This study sheds new light on the novel channel through which the Internet promotes exports, enriching the existing literature in this field.
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互联网联系与国际贸易:从降低风险的角度
已有大量研究探讨了互联网对贸易的影响,但对其通过降低风险促进贸易的作用却知之甚少。本研究探讨了互联网联系如何促进出口,特别是通过减轻风险的新渠道促进出口。从理论上讲,本文引入了一个增加了出口风险的引力模型,以确定互联网联系对出口的刺激作用。从实证角度看,本文使用域间超链接作为 2009 年互联网联系的替代指标,发现互联网联系对出口有显著的积极影响。值得注意的是,互联网链接强度每增加一倍,出口就会增加 27.8%。通过运用各种技术,我们细致地解决了潜在的内生性问题,并在国家和产品层面证实了风险缓解机制。特别是,我们发现对风险较高国家和风险较高产品的出口从互联网联系中获益更多。这项研究揭示了互联网促进出口的新渠道,丰富了该领域的现有文献。
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