The Economic Pamphleteer: Local Food: Another Food Fad or Food of the Future?

J. Ikerd
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引用次数: 8

Abstract

First paragraph: When anticipating the future, many experts simply examine trends of the past and project them into the future—as if trends continue indefinitely. However, one of the most fundamental principles of science is that everything on earth tends to cycle—whether physically, ecologically, economically, or socially (Culotta, 1991; Pool, 1991). All trends eventually stall out and reverse direction. Some apparent aberrations or blips in trends turn out to be harbingers of impending reversals. Some see the reemergence of farmers markets and popularity of locally grown foods as a passing fad or a blip in a continuing trend toward the globalization of the food system. Others see the local food movement as a harbinger of fundamental change. . . .
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经济小册子》:当地食品:另一种食品时尚还是未来食品?
第一段:在预测未来时,许多专家只是简单地研究过去的趋势,并将其推测到未来--好像趋势会无限期地持续下去。然而,科学最基本的原则之一是,地球上的一切事物都趋向于循环往复--无论是物理的、生态的、经济的还是社会的(Culotta, 1991; Pool, 1991)。所有趋势最终都会停滞并逆转方向。趋势中一些明显的反常现象或小插曲最终会成为即将发生逆转的先兆。有些人认为,农贸市场的重新兴起和本地种植食品的流行是一种过眼云烟,或者是食品系统全球化持续趋势中的一个小插曲。另一些人则认为本地食品运动预示着根本性的变革。. . .
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