Landslide Activation during the Development of Mountainous Areas

IF 0.9 4区 地球科学 Q4 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Russian Journal of Pacific Geology Pub Date : 2024-06-05 DOI:10.1134/s1819714024700076
V. A. Lobkina, Yu. V. Gensiorovsky
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Abstract

The development of mountainous areas leads to activation of hazardous exogenic processes, primarily landslides and mudflows. One of the important factors determining the intensity of these processes and having a significant impact on their characteristics is moistening of rocks in potential landslide and mudflow masses. This work considers the case of landslide activation at Gornyi Vozdukh ski resort in December 2021. A predictive model is presented for the formation of landslides induced by excessive moistening of slopes, which was calibrated to the conditions of southern Sakhalin. To calibrate the model, the data on the cases of landslides and mudflows within a 30-km radius from Yuzhno-Sakhalinsk hydrometeorological station are collected. The predictive model uses data on daily, antecedent, and cumulative precipitation. All these data are publicly available, which makes it possible to calibrate the model for any nearest hydrometeorological station. The daily precipitation threshold making possible the formation of landslides and mudflows in the given territory is determined as 51.4 mm.

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山区开发过程中的滑坡活动
摘要 山区的发展会导致危险的外生过程,主要是滑坡和泥石流。决定这些过程强度并对其特征产生重大影响的重要因素之一是潜在滑坡和泥石流岩体的湿润。本研究考虑了 2021 年 12 月在 Gornyi Vozdukh 滑雪胜地发生的山体滑坡。文中提出了一个预测模型,用于预测因斜坡过度湿润而诱发的滑坡的形成,该模型已根据萨哈林岛南部的条件进行了校准。为了校准模型,收集了距离尤日诺-萨哈林斯克水文气象站 30 公里半径范围内的滑坡和泥石流案例数据。预测模型使用的数据包括日降水量、前降水量和累积降水量。所有这些数据都是公开的,因此可以为任何最近的水文气象站校准模型。日降水量阈值被确定为 51.4 毫米,该阈值使特定地区可能形成山体滑坡和泥石流。
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来源期刊
Russian Journal of Pacific Geology
Russian Journal of Pacific Geology 地学-地球科学综合
CiteScore
1.30
自引率
37.50%
发文量
34
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: Russian Journal of Pacific Geology publishes the results of research on the Earth crust and mantle composition and provides articles on the geological structure and patterns of distribution of mineral deposits in the Pacific Ocean, marginal seas and continental margins. It discusses the topics of stratigraphy, sedimentology, magmatic activity, and seismicity. The journal deals with the problems of lithosphere plates tectonics, and offers the results of neotectonic, geomorphological, geodesic, environmental and mining studies in the Pacific region. The journal accepts theoretical, methodical and philosophical articles covering general issues of geology, geophysics, geochemistry, geoecology and mining. The journal also publishes critical notes and comments, and reviews.
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